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Thursday, September 22, 2022

The Real Crime Problem Doesn't Make Much News

 

The Real Crime Problem Doesn't Make Much News

The Wall Street Journal January 11, 2017

The media play up shootings by police. Last year in Chicago, they were less than 1% of the total.

The Chicago video that features four black suspects assaulting a white man has sparked another discussion about “hate crimes,” but it also highlights a phenomenon that has been underreported by a liberal media more interested in political correctness.

Crime reporting these days seems more focused on the behavior of the police than on the behavior of criminals. Police shootings of black men are rare, for example, but they get far more media coverage than when black civilians shoot one another, which is much more common. There were 4,368 shootings in Chicago last year, according to the Chicago Tribune’s crime database. Almost all of the shooting victims were black, and more than 99% of the shootings were carried out by civilians, not cops. Obviously, young black men in Chicago don’t roam the streets in fear of getting shot by police.

When the media aren’t indulging liberal activists by pretending that police shootings drive black homicide rates, they’re playing down the very real episodes of black criminality shown in the video. For years, Asian students in public schools have complained of racially motivated harassment and bullying by black students. Surveillance cameras have caught young black men playing the “knockout game,” which involves sucker-punching random white pedestrians. Cities from Los Angeles to Philadelphia to Baltimore have experienced “wilding” incidents, which involve flash mobs of black youths rampaging through a mall or park or convenience store and physically attacking people in the process.

Most violent crimes involve a perpetrator and victim of the same race. But when they don’t, incidents of black-on-white crimes far exceed the reverse scenario. “In 2012, blacks committed 560,600 acts of violence against whites (excluding homicide), and whites committed 99,403 acts of violence (excluding homicide) against blacks,” writes the Manhattan Institute’s Heather Mac Donald, citing federal Bureau of Justice Statistics data. “Blacks, in other words, committed 85 percent of the non-homicide interracial crimes of violence between blacks and whites, even though they are less than 13 percent of the population.”

When the mainstream media discuss relations between poor black communities and law enforcement without including data on black crime rates, readers and viewers aren’t getting the full picture. Racially motivated attacks on blacks shouldn’t be ignored or played down, but neither should racially motivated attacks perpetrated by blacks.

Nationwide, crime is down from where it was in the 1990s, but it has ticked up in recent years in some major cities. Chicago’s murder rate in 2016 was the highest in two decades. Violent crime in Los Angeles has increased for three straight years. Liberals are quick to blame poverty or economic downturns or racial bias in policing, but those explanations can’t withstand scrutiny.

Crime began spiking in the 1960s, when the U.S. economy was strong and jobs were plentiful. The economic boom of the 1980s coincided with a steady increase in crime. Police officials in Los Angeles have attributed the higher crime rate to increased homelessness, among other factors, but homelessness has also risen in New York City, where violent crime has fallen.

Hiring more police officers to flood crime-ridden neighborhoods could help. In 2015 the LAPD sent extra officers to South Los Angeles after an increase in shootings. “By the time the emergency operation ended on Oct. 1, the rate of violent crime had stabilized in South L.A.,” reports the Los Angeles Times. “But with resources concentrated there, some other parts of the city experienced upticks in crime.”

Last fall, Chicago announced plans to hire 970 officers over the next two years. Increasing police presence alone, however, may have limited effect if cops feel they are being targeted by the press and scapegoated by activist groups like Black Lives Matter.

Despite the national downward trend over the past two decades, people remain concerned for their safety. In a Gallup poll last March, 53% of respondents said they worry “a great deal” about crime and violence. That’s up from less than 40% in 2014 and a 15-year high. Respondents who were low-income, nonwhite and less educated expressed by far the most concern, which you would expect from the people who bear the brunt of violent crime in the U.S., however it’s trending.

Donald Trump made clear throughout the campaign that his instinct would be to support police in a way that they haven’t been supported under the Obama administration, which made a habit of second-guessing law enforcement and politicizing police investigations. Let’s hope the incoming administration’s sympathies will be with the mostly law-abiding residents of poor neighborhoods for a change. And let’s hope it doesn’t take another group of criminals who are stupid enough to live stream their offenses in order for the media to present a more accurate picture of crime in America.

This piece originally appeared in The Wall Street Journal

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Jason L. Riley is a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, a columnist at The Wall Street Journal, and a Fox News commentator.

 

Wednesday, September 21, 2022

100 Black Crime Statistics: Data, Trends & Predictions

100 Black Crime Statistics: Data, Trends & Predictions

The relationship between race and crime in the United States has been the subject of controversy and countless investigative reports from respected publications. At the center of those discussions are black crimes. On the one hand, their correlation with racial disparity has influenced legislation to be fairer to all ethnicities, which is still a work in progress. On the other, arguments were made regarding certain ethnicities’ predisposition to commit crimes. Whichever the case, the numbers suggest a racial imbalance in terms of arrests and victim counts.

However, proportions, rather than populations, paint a clearer picture of what’s really going on. More blacks than whites, for instance, were arrested for manslaughter in 2017. Conversely, the same goes for the startling percentage of African Americans stopped and frisked by the police in various cities. 

In viewing the black crime statistics below, you will have an idea if reforms need to be made to further protect every sector of our communities. 

black crime statistics

General Information on Black Crimes

Compared to Caucasians, African Americans come in smaller numbers with regard to arrest and victimization rates. But considering that there are nearly 200 million whites and only 42 million blacks in America, the population percentage of African Americans tagged as criminal offenders is much higher. There are also more black crime victims in terms of proportion.  

The figures from 2019 onwards have yet to be released by the FBI and the Department of Justice, but historical data conveys a vast disparity in black and white arrests. And the trend is expected to continue as there is no sharp downturn in black arrest and victimization rates.

  • In 2018, the FBI’s National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) listed down a total of 5,625,156 known criminal offenders, 53.9% of whom were white Americans, and 27.4% were black Americans. 
  • In that same year, the FBI arrested 3,480,625 people, 69.6% of whom were white, and 24.7% were black. 
  • In 2016, 27% of all arrested individuals in the US were composed of black Americans. 
  • Crispus Attucks, an African American, is the first person killed in the Boston Massacre and the very first casualty of the American Revolution in 1770. 

Crimes Committed

Despite the massive disparity in population, blacks felons outnumber the whites in crimes like manslaughter, robbery, and illegal gambling. They also take up large percentages of both serious and petty crimes. Tighter law enforcement measures might be needed to improve the safety of communities, provided that the suspects are judged based on their acts and not their skin color.   

  • In 2017, 53.1% of those arrested for manslaughter were black. 
  • Based on a 2017 FBI crime report, 54% of the people arrested for robbery were black. 
  • In that same year, blacks made up 51.9% of those charged with illegal gambling. 
  • They also accounted for 33.5% of offenders charged with aggravated assault and 28.7% of rape arrests. 
  • In addition, blacks accounted for 29.8% of burglary arrests, and 43.9% of people caught carrying firearms. 
  • Out of the 429,000 sentenced black prisoners in 2015, 252,300 (58.8%) were involved in violent crimes, 65,000 (15.2%) were charged with property crimes, 61,600 (14.4%) were busted for drug-related incidents, 48,200 (11.2%) were nabbed for crimes against public order, and 1,900 (0.4%) were charged with other crimes. 
  • According to the FBI, in 2013, blacks accounted for 52.2% of all murder arrests, while whites made up 45.3%. 
  • Black Victim Statistics

    The number of black gun violence victims is alarming, which adds to the discussion of gun control in the US. Likewise, the high rate of African American murder victims should be addressed, perhaps by increasing the risks involved in committing a crime and better surveillance.      

  • According to the NIBRS, out of the 4,720,900 victims listed in 2018, 69.6% were white, and 21.6% were black. 
  • Between 2008 and 2018, 49.95% of murder victims in the US were black, and 46.25% were white. 
  • Between 2008 and 2018, 57.39% of gun violence victims were black, while 39.64% were white. 
  • Between 2007 and 2016, there were 6.5 million white American non-fatal assault victims, while black Americans accounted for 4.3 million. 

Violent and Serious Crime Statistics

Violent crimes are defined as acts where a victim is threatened or harmed with the use of force. This includes murder, assault, rape, robbery, burglary, and harassment. Serious crimes, on the other hand, are completed or successful violent crimes. 

While the stats suggest that Caucasians and African Americans figure in both classifications at proportionate rates, there is a progressive rise in the number of black violent crime victims from 2016 to 2018. This could be caused by a multitude of reasons, from poverty and unemployment to easy access to contrabands and firearms.         

  • Violent incidents involving white and black people in 2018 carry a similar percentage of their population in the US, 62%, and 12%, respectively.
  • In 2018, there were 1,115,670 crimes committed by African-Americans, excluding Hispanic blacks and cases involving victims aged 12 and below. 
  • In 2018, there were 644,710 African-American victims of violent crimes, excluding Hispanic blacks and cases involving victims aged 12 and below. 
  • The percentage of violent crimes committed by black criminals is 1.8 times higher than that of the percentage of the black population in the US. 
  • The violent crimes committed against black people increased from 389,340 in 2017 to 416,850 in 2018. 
  • Out of the 4,636,730 serious crimes committed in 2018, 732,020 were committed by African Americans. 
  • The number of serious crimes committed by blacks increased from 639,140 in 2017 to 732,020 in 2018. 
  • There was a 2:1 ratio between black violent crime offenders and black victims in 2018.
  •  
  • Juvenile Arrests Statistics

    A disparity between black and white prisoners is more pronounced when looking at the rate of juvenile arrests. Similar to the adults, there were more black teens than white teens busted for manslaughter, robbery, and illegal gambling in 2018. Moreover, their arrest rates for serious crimes are significantly higher than those of their adult counterparts. 

    Besides alleviating poverty and offering more jobs to the public, local governments should find ways to make education more accessible. The promise of a bright future could lead parents to dissuade kids from joining gangs and participating in illicit affairs at an early age. Schools, on the other hand, would benefit from better security measures, with mass shootings being a huge concern in the country.   

  • In 2018, young black males accounted for 35% of youth arrests in the US, even though they only represent 15% of all US children. 
  • In 2017, the FBI recorded a total of 625,099 arrests of people below 18, which included 218,048 (34.9%) blacks and 385,298 (61.6%) whites. 
  • Black minors represented 60.6% of the people below 18 arrested for manslaughter in 2017. 
  • 66.6% of all juvenile arrests for robbery involved blacks. 
  • In 2017, a majority of the youths nabbed for possessing stolen property (56.7%), prostitution (52.5%), illegal gambling (76.4%), and vehicle theft (51.5%) were black. 
  • 16,167 black youths were also arrested for drug abuse violations in 2017. 
  • Furthermore, black youths accounted for 31% of youths arrested for rape, 42.5% for aggravated assault, 41% for burglary, and 50.9% for arson as a violent crime. 
  • In the shootings, including school shootings, between 1982 and February 2020, 64 white shooters and 20 black shooters were arrested.  

Blacks-on-Black Crimes Statistics

Rather than racial bias, two bigger factors in the staggering rates of black-on-black violence have surfaced, familiarity and proximity. According to the FBI’s annual crime report in 2018, most murder victims are acquaintances of the suspects in cases where the relationship between both parties was identified. Crimes committed by friends and family also exceed those perpetrated by strangers.   

From a risk management standpoint, there would be less of a struggle, and the threat level is more or less calculated in harming people one is familiar with. This doesn’t mean that strangers pose less of a threat compared to friends and peers, which is certainly not the case. But what the data really conveys is for us to be more vigilant, especially in reading social cues.      

  • According to the 2018 National Crime Victimization Survey, 70.3% of the violent incidents suffered by black victims were committed by black offenders. 
  • Of the 6,000 homicide cases in 2015 where the FBI had known the ethnicity of the victim and the killer, 2,380 were black victims accosted by black killers. 2,574, on the other hand, were whites killed by whites.
  • This represents an 8% increase from 2014. 
  • The proportion of black-on-black homicides to the number of black people killed was at 89.3% in 2015, the first time since the dawn of the 21st century that the rate fell below 90%. 

Interracial Killings Facts

The figures suggest that instances of same ethnicity killings are more prevalent than interracial homicide. However, 12% of 6000 homicide cases is still a significant amount and should be addressed accordingly. Most of the numbers listed below reflect only cases in which the FBI was able to identify the ethnicity of the victim and the killer. Should the complete racial information in other homicide cases surface, the numbers would certainly be higher. 

Whether the acts were racially motivated or if ethnicity was inconsequential to the killings, interracial homicide deserves special attention from the authorities.   

  • According to the 2018 National Crime Victimization Survey, 15.3% of the violent incidents suffered by whites were committed by blacks. 
  • 7.9% of the violent incidents suffered by Hispanics were committed by blacks. 
  • 29.7% of the violent crimes suffered by blacks were committed by other races, 10.6% of which were by whites.
  • In 2015, the FBI reported 500 homicide cases involving blacks killing whites and 229 cases involving whites killing blacks. 
  • Homicides involving blacks killing whites increased progressively from 2013 to 2015. 
  • There was an even larger increase, however, on the rate of homicides involving whites killing blacks from 2013 to 2015. 
  • Of the 6,000 homicides reported in 2015, in which the police had information on the ethnicity of both the victim and the killer, 12% involved blacks killing whites and whites killing blacks. 
  • In 2015, 8.6% of black homicide victims were killed by whites, and 15.8% of white homicide victims were killed by blacks. 
  • 13,455 homicide cases where the FBI had information on only the victim’s ethnicity were submitted in 2015. 7,039 (52.3%) involved black victims while 5,854 (43.5%) were white. 

Policing Black People Statistics

Policing in the US is every bit as controversial as the crimes that the authorities have sworn to eradicate. The preferential treatment against blacks and other people of color in favor of whites is glaring and has been acknowledged in numerous reports from the government sector. Many of the African Americans stopped by the police have turned out to be innocent. But this has not dissuaded the authorities from detaining them more than any other race in America. And the numbers aren’t close. 

With this, the public’s perception of the police is anything but encouraging. This goes for the majority of black and white citizens. Even black officers share the same opinion, albeit discreetly.           

  • In New York City, between 2001 and 2013, blacks and Hispanics made up 82% of those arrested for misdemeanors through Broken Windows Policing and 81% of those summoned for violating New York City’s administrative code. 
  • Eight out of 10 black adults believe that blacks are treated less fairly by the police than whites. 
  • Six out of 10 white adults share the same view. 
  • In a 2016 survey, only 33% of black adults think that the police use the amount of force commensurate to the situation. 
  • Only 35% of black adults say that the police treat racial groups fairly. 
  •  Only 31% of black adults think police officers are held liable for their actions when abuses occur. 
  • According to a 2016 survey, 57% of black police officers believe that the deaths of black people at the hands of the police point to a larger concern rather than being isolated cases. 
  • Nearly 7 out of 10 black officers think that the protests from those deaths stem from people wanting to hold the police accountable for their actions. 
  • In Ferguson, from 2012 – 2014, blacks accounted for 93% of police arrests, and 85% of traffic stops. Blacks make up 67% of the city’s population.  

Stop and Frisk Statistics

Based on the numbers, the police have tagged black people as possible threats to society while generally keeping whites from being inconvenienced by the “Stop and Frisk” policy. The fact that African Americans make up a vast majority of those stopped and frisked by the police underscores the inherent bias not just in policing, but also, in part, the criminal justice system. 

  • The NYPD reported 13,459 police stops in 2019, in accordance with New York City’s stop-and-frisk policy. 7,981 (59%) of the detainees were black, and 1,215 (9%) were white. 
  • Ever since 2003—a year after the stop-and-frisk policy’s inception—until 2019, the rate of blacks detained stayed consistently above 50%. Whites, on the other hand, never went beyond 12%. 
  • Black neighborhoods were subjected to 70% more frisks compared to non-black areas, even though the investigations found fewer amounts of contrabands. 
  • When Philadelphia’s local government addressed the seeming racial disparity through police training, the number of problematic stops dropped by 72%. 
  • According to a 2016 report of the San Francisco District Attorney’s Office, blacks accounted for 42% of non-consensual searches. 
  • A 2016 report in Chicago states that black and Latino drivers were four times more likely to be stopped by the police compared to their white counterparts.

Incarceration of Blacks Facts

Another area of great racial disparity is imprisonment, especially of juveniles. People of color account for a majority of the prisoner population in the US despite having a smaller collective population than Caucasians. If they are incarcerated at the same rate as whites are, the number of inmates would drastically decline. 

This poses the question if people of color live in more violent communities or if the local brand of justice is inherently selective. Experts have long been debating this matter.     

  • Around 2.5% of the US black male population was in prison by the end of 2016. 
  • 2,417 per 100,000 US black male residents were incarcerated by the end of 2016. 
  • There were 467,000 sentenced black male prisoners and 20,400 black female prisoners in the US in 2016. These figures exclude blacks with Hispanic origins and those with sentences that are one year or less. 
  • In 2015, 59% of black prisoners sentenced to more than a year in prison were detained for a violent crime.  
  • 18-19-year-old black males are 11.8 times more likely to be incarcerated than white males belonging to the same age group. 
  • Black males 65 years and above are 4.4 times more likely to be incarcerated than white males belonging to the same age group. 
  • In 2016, 34% of black inmates were doing time for public order offenses. 
  • While blacks and Hispanics comprise about 32% of the US population, they accounted for 56% of the US prison population in 2015. 
  • Blacks are five times more likely to be incarcerated than whites. 
  • If blacks and Hispanics share the same incarceration rate of whites, the prison population will decrease by 40%. 
  • As of 2001, one in three black males born in the said year would likely face a prison sentence in his lifetime. 
  • As of 2016, 48.3% of prisoners serving life and virtual life sentences are black. 
  • The number of whites and blacks charged with prison sentences of over 1 year declined in 2016. 
  • 13% of the inmates belonging to the 18 to 24 age group are black.

    Black Women in Prison

    While there are far fewer black women than men in prison, the disparity in the imprisonment rates between black and white women is striking. And the gap is even wider if we are to zone in on just juvenile incarceration. 

  • There were more white women (49,000 inmates) in prison than black women (20,400) and Hispanic women (19,300) at the end of 2016. 
  • However, the imprisonment rate of black females (97/100,000) is nearly 50% higher than that of their white counterparts (49/100,000). 
  • 18-19-year-old black females are 3.1 times more likely to be incarcerated than white females belonging to the same age group. 

Drug Abuse Statistics

America’s war on drugs has led to the arrest of numerous users and dealers belonging to all ethnicities. A concern that stands out is the disparity between arrests and the number of known users. It makes one wonder how over a million drug users can roam free and what metrics are applied on the streets to qualify for a drug-related arrest.

Another glaring statistic is the incarceration rate of blacks in relation to illegal drugs compared to whites. This brings forth the need to delve into the nature of drug cases involving whites and blacks further. There is a possibility that the communities within which both races reside play as big a factor in the crimes as ethnicity does.       

  • According to the FBI, in 2017, 342,513 black Americans were busted for drug abuse violations, making up 27.1% of all those arrested. 
  • According to the 2015 National Survey on Drug Use and Health, around 4 million African Americans were using illegal substances in December of that same year. 
  • Despite using illegal drugs at similar rates, blacks are six times more likely to face imprisonment than whites. 
  • More than one in four people busted for drug-related crimes in 2015 were black. 
  • In an ALU report, it was found that blacks were 3.7 times more likely to be charged with marijuana possession than whites even though the usage rates of both ethnicities are comparable. 

Hate Crime Statistics

The FBI defines a hate crime as a criminal offense motivated by bias, which includes those that are racially motivated. Even though society has thoroughly evolved from the prejudiced 60s era, racism is still present in this day and age. And the high number of hate crimes ascertains this fact. 

To counter this, the Bureau has centered the efforts of its civil service program to crack down on hate crimes and its causes. Besides conducting investigations, it holds outreach programs that inform communities about their civil rights and the laws that protect them. Training programs to combat hate crimes are also offered to authorities and communities.   

  • According to the FBI in 2018, 59.6% of single-bias hate crimes were motivated by bias against race/ethnicity/ancestry. 
  • In 2018, 53.6% of hate crime offenders were white, while 24% were black. 
  • Out of the 6,266 reported offenders of hate crimes motivated by race in 2018, 3,359 were white while 1,506 were black. 
  • Of the 5,155 victims of single-bias hate crimes involving race in 2018, 2,426 (47.1%) were victims of anti-black bias, while 1,038 (20.1) were victims of anti-white bias. 
  • Out of the 5,556 hate crimes against persons, 46% came in the form of intimidation, 34% were simple assault, 18.4% were aggravated assault, and 0.8% resulted in rape or murder.
  •  
  • Black Views on the Justice and Safety

    Due to the racial disparity in policing, sentencing, and incarceration, many people have cast doubts on the impartiality of the country’s criminal justice system. In fact, a majority of Caucasians think that local justice as a whole is skewed against African Americans. Blacks were expectedly downcast on the state of race relations, and in the way authorities treated them.  

    If we delve deeper into the stats, the views of African Americans are reflective of the dangers that their communities pose. For them to acknowledge acts like violent crimes and gun violence as serious national concerns, criminal elements are likely to be more pervasive in their communities.         

  • According to the Pew Research Center in 2018, 87% of black adults believe that blacks are less favored by the criminal justice system compared to whites. 
  • The same view is shared by 61% of white adults. 
  • 79% of black adults think that the unfair treatment of the criminal justice system of ethnic minorities is a huge concern in the US. 
  • 32% of white adults think the same way. 
  • 82% of blacks view gun violence as a serious problem in the country, while only 47% of whites share the same opinion. 
  • 75% of blacks think that violent crime is a big problem in the country; only 46% of whites agree with this. 
  • 38% of blacks believe that crime is a serious concern in their local community as opposed to only 13% thinking the same way. 
  • A Pew Research Center survey in 2017 reported that blacks are twice as likely to admit that they live in a dangerous neighborhood compared to whites. 
  • 71% of black Americans believe that race relations in the country aren’t good. 
  • 84% of blacks believe that their history of slavery has placed them at a disadvantage in society, while 78% think that the country has failed to do enough to give them equal rights with whites. 

Views on the Death Penalty

The negative view of blacks on the criminal justice system extends to the death penalty. After all, if the authorities are quick to detain and arrest African American suspects, they would likely believe that death sentences are more easily meted out to them. This line of thought has led a majority of blacks to oppose the death penalty. 

  • According to a 2015 survey, 52% of black Americans do not support the death penalty, while 74% believe that capital punishment puts innocent people at risk. 
  • 77% of blacks think that minorities are more likely to be meted with a death sentence. 
  • A majority of black (75%) and white people (60%) think that capital punishment does not effectively deter crime. 
  • 46% of blacks think that capital punishment is morally justified.  

Black Crimes Should be Better Addressed

Racial disparity is evident on most counts when one looks at incarceration rates, arrests, victims, and police detainments, among others. Blacks, on paper, really do figure more in crimes if we slice America’s population down to ethnic proportion. The fact that 2.5% of the entire black male population in America is behind bars speaks volumes of their involvement in crimes. 

However, this does not necessarily mean that African Americans are the most threatening ethnicity on American shores. Based on the policing numbers, many of them are detained and arrested even if they didn’t break any law. Just search for these cases online, and you would find dozens, if not hundreds, of documented cases on paper and video.   

Rather than focus on the color of one’s skin, the authorities are better off surveilling the communities where the perpetrators of violent crimes came from. They would likely unearth systemic, instead of racial, concerns plaguing the locales. Factors like poverty, unemployment, limited access to basic needs and education, and astronomic healthcare expenses are known to influence crime. Those have nothing to do with one being born to black parents.


References:

  1. Criminal Victimization, 2018
  2. Race in America 2019
  3. From police to parole, black and white Americans differ wildly in their views of the criminal justice system
  4. Criminal Justice Fact Sheet
  5. 2015 National Survey of Drug Use and Health
  6. Race and Homicide in America, by the numbers
  7. Crispus Attucks American Leader
  8. Stop-And-Frisk Data
  9. Prisoners in 2016
  10. Addressing Racial Disparities in Incarceration
  11. 2016 Crime in the United States
  12. Easy Access to Juvenile Populations
  13. 2015 Crime in the United States
  14. The War on Marijuana in Black and White
  15. Study: High rates of stop-and-frisk even in Philly’s lowest-crime back areas
  16. Trends in Misdemeanor Arrests in New York
  17. Still Life: America’s Increasing Use of Life and Long Term Sentences
  18. 2018 Hate Crime Statistics Victims
  19. 2018 Hate Crime Statistics Offenders
  20. 2018 Hate Crime Statistics Known Offenders
  21. 2018 Hate Crime Statistics Incidents, Offenses, Victims, and Known Offenders
  22. 2018 Hate Crime Statistics Incidents and Offenses
  23. 2018 Hate Crime Statistics Hate Crime Summary
  24. Summary of
  25. NIBRS Victims
  26. Crime in the United States 2013 Arrests
  27. Victims
  28. WISQARS Nonfatal Injury Reports, 2000 – 2018
  29. 2017 Crime in the United States Table 43
  30. The 12 key highlights from the DOJ’s scathing Ferguson report
  31. Report of The Blue Ribbon Panel on Transparency, Accountability, and Fairness in Law Enforcement
  32. Restoring Trust between the Chicago Police and the Communities They Serve
  33. Number of mass shootings in the United States between 1982 and February 2020, by shooter’s race and ethnicity.
  34. Murder Circumstances by Relationship, 2018
  35. Hate Crimes

    Black Crime: Facing Down the Elephant in the Room


    Black Crime: Facing Down the Elephant in the Room

    Posted: Apr 12, 2021 12:01 AM
    https://townhall.com/columnists/willalexander/2021/04/12/black-crime-facing-down-the-elephant-in-the-room-n2587658

     

    I recently wrote about the mysterious killings of endangered white rhinos in South Africa’s Pilanesberg Park years ago.  The killers turned out to be gangs of aggressive teen elephants who, raised without fathers or role models to “curb their youthful exuberance,” grew up to be troublemakers.  The delinquents fell in line after park staff relocated adult male elephants to the park who “kicked butt” with the compassion of a father and established a new hierarchy.  

    The violence and killings of white rhinos stopped.  

    I compared the young elephants to young blacks in urban cities who were raised without fathers or healthy role models and have grown up extremely violent and extremely dysfunctional. 

    That dysfunction is passed down to succeeding generations because rather than making the hard decisions to accurately define and solve the problem, leaders and activists excuse the bad behavior by blaming all the mayhem on slavery and Jim Crow. The message?  “It’s not your fault.”

    How’s that working?  

    Blacks are a third of the population in Chicago but commit 80 percent of all shootings, author Heather Mac Donald told Tucker Carlson on a recent show.  In Los Angeles, blacks commit 44 percent of all violent crime but make up 9 percent of the population.  In St. Louis, blacks are less than a third of the population but commit 90 percent of all homicides. In New York City, blacks commit about three quarters of all shootings although they’re 23 percent of the population.

    On Monday alone, 16 people were shot and two killed in Chicago, a city led by blacks.  Two teenage black girls killed an Uber Eats driver in D.C. during a foiled carjacking.  A knife-wielding black man, 25, was shot dead after he rammed his car into a barricade at the Capitol, killing one policeman.  A deranged black man who had been released from prison after killing his mother was caught on camera kicking, stomping, and beating a random 65-year-old Asian woman, while others, including a security guard, watched.

    With all the talk of structural racism, equity, and white supremacy, violence has not only gotten more brash, but it’s becoming institutionalized. 

    Yet, if the woke crowd were successful in transforming the country into an “anti-racist” paradise, we would still be light years away from fixing the dysfunction and disparities in urban cities.  

    Blaming black crime on slavery and Jim Crow completely ignores the elephant in the room.

    “We need to be courageous and come up with alternative explanations that are difficult to articulate but they must be said,” McDonald told Tucker.

    Corey Brooks, pastor of New Beginnings Church of Chicago, has spent the past few years getting his hands dirty with an “alternative explanation” that is slowly transforming one of the most violent neighborhoods in Chicago. Rather than blaming cops, he’s laser-focused on tackling urban crime at its root: broken families.  

    In the new documentary “What Killed Michael Brown?” Shelby Steele and his son, Eli, spoke with Pastor Brooks, who set up his church in 2000 in the heart of Woodlawn, Illinois. It’s now a congregation of 2,500.

    “I believe the church is the hope of the world,” said Brooks.  “What greater place that needs that hope than a place that’s experiencing high levels of crime [and] broken families? We’ve seen a lot of young guys in the neighborhood who don’t value their lives.  A lot of it is a result of not having someone to encourage them that ‘You can do better,’ … But if you don’t have those messages going forward, it’s hard for you to value life when everybody is shooting and killing.”

    That was true for ex-Black Disciples gang leader Varney Voker who, as a child, watched his mother smoke weed and deal drugs. He wanted to be like her. But he did better. Voker grew up to build a crack-heroin business that brought in $60,000 a day.  

    Legendary in Chicago as one of “The Bentley Twins” (he and his twin brother drove Bentleys), Voker told Steele about how he returned from an 11-year prison sentence to find his old neighborhood under new leadership. While looking for old connections to rebuild his empire, Voker’s friend told him he had to go to the church.

    “I’m like, who am I meeting?” he said, recounting the story.  “Guy (said), ‘You meeting the pastor.’  I said, ‘I don’t want to talk to no pastor, bro, I just came home.  He goes, ‘No, you have to talk to him because he runs the neighborhood now.’”

    When they finally met, the pastor said to the ex-gang leader: “OK, um, I know who you are; I heard a lot about you – glad to see you home, but I’m the new sheriff in town.”

    By making himself the “biggest elephant in the room,” Brooks established a new hierarchy in Woodlawn where young blacks saw him as a father figure.  Over the years, Brooks has created an environment where young people can learn a trade, become self-sufficient, and be role models for others.  It is this painstaking cycle of creating and reproducing role models that Brooks believes will transform the neighborhood.  In fact, he wants Woodlawn to be the petri dish that will offer proof that urban areas nationwide can grow themselves out of dysfunction and close crippling disparities.  

    “It’s easy to say, ‘the white man, the white man’ when in reality we need to take a closer look at ourselves,” he told Steele. “We’re telling them educationally – you’ve got to get it together.  Economically, you’ve got to get it together.  Family and spiritually, you have to get it together.   And you have to take responsibility.”

    It is the Corey Brooks of the world – not the Cory Bookers – who will do for troubled urban cities what trillions of government dollars, angry protesters, and pampered TV pundits have failed to do.  They ignore the elephant in the room, then make books and monuments to themselves about the problems they created and pretended to solve.  

    But men like Pastor Brooks stare the elephant in the eye, hammer stakes in the ground, and commit to the dirty, back-breaking labor of changing the destiny of generations of broken human beings.

    If America is lucky, Brooks and people like him, just may be replicating an army of men and women in their own images.

    Author's note: Pastor Corey Brooks’ outreach arm, Project H.O.O.D. (Helping Others Obtain Destiny), is raising private funds to build a community center that will house a charter school, skills training, and recreational opportunities.  For more information, go to www.projecthood.org.

     

    My Black Crime Problem, and Ours

    My Black Crime Problem, and Ours

    Why are so many blacks in prison? Is the criminal justice system racist? The answer is disquieting.

    Spring 1996

    https://www.city-journal.org/html/my-black-crime-problem-and-ours-11773.html

    iolent crime is down in New York and many other cities, but there are two big reasons to keep the champagne corked. One is that murder, rape, robbery, and assault remain at historic highs: the streets of Manhattan, like those of Houston, Philadelphia, Detroit, Chicago, and Los Angeles, remain much less safe today than in the 1950s and 1960s. Worse, though policing and prison policies matter, nothing affects crime rates more than the number of young males in the population—and by the year 2010, there will be about 4.5 million more males age 17 or under than there were in 1990: 8 percent more whites and 26 percent more blacks. Since around 6 percent of young males turn out to be career criminals, according to the historical data, this increase will put an estimated 270,000 more young predators on the streets than in 1990, coming at us in waves over the next two decades. Numerous studies show that each succeeding generation of young male criminals commits about three times as much serious crime as the one before it: the occasional fatal knife fight of 1950s street gangs has given way to the frequent drive-by shootings of 1990s gangs.

    The second reason to keep the champagne corked is that not only is the number of young black criminals likely to surge, but also the black crime rate, both black-on-black and black-on-white, is increasing, so that as many as half of these juvenile super-predators could be young black males. But just when we need to think most earnestly about black crime, the space for honest discourse about race and crime is shrinking. The evidence of that shrinkage is everywhere: in the lickety-split O.J. verdict and its racially polarized aftermath, in the utter certitude of many blacks that the justice system is rigged against them, in the belief of many whites that violent crime is synonymous with black crime and the fear they feel of every young black male passerby not wearing a tie or handcuffs.

    What has made our views on race and crime so polarized—and often so out of touch with reality? What are the facts about race and crime? And what are Americans, blacks and whites together, to do about it?

    Many blacks, and some whites, believe that the justice system is biased against blacks, at worst purposefully racist or even “genocidal.” Take a recent New Yorker article, in which Henry Louis Gates Jr., leader of Harvard University’s black studies program, chronicled “Thirteen Ways of Looking at a Black Man,” namely, the acquitted O.J. Simpson. Gates writes: “Perhaps you didn’t know that Liz Claiborne appeared on Oprah and said she didn’t design her clothes for black women—that their hips were too wide. Perhaps you didn’t know that the soft drink Tropical Fantasy is manufactured by the Ku Klux Klan and contains a special ingredient to sterilize black men. . . . Perhaps you didn’t know these things but a good many black Americans think they do. . . . Never mind that Liz Claiborne has never appeared on Oprah, [or] that the beleaguered Brooklyn [soft drink] company has gone as far as to make an FDA assay of its ingredients. . . . If you wonder why blacks seem particularly susceptible to rumors and conspiracy theories, you might take a look at a history in which the official story was a poor guide to anything that mattered much, and in which rumor sometimes verged on the truth. Heard the one about the L.A. cop who hated interracial couples, fantasized about making a bonfire of black bodies, and boasted of planting evidence?”

    Gates, like the renowned sociologist William Julius Wilson, one of the prominent black Americans whose views of the O.J. verdict he cites, was convinced that O.J. was guilty. But he recounts a story Wilson told him about once being stopped near a small New England town by a policeman who wanted to know what he was doing in those parts: “There’s a moving violation that many African-Americans know as DWB: Driving While Black,” notes Gates. As “older blacks like to repeat,” when “white folks say ‘justice,’ they mean ‘just us.’” In other words, blacks really do experience enough casual, reflexive racism from law enforcement officers to make them understandably fearful that racism permeates the criminal justice system.

    A point well taken. But then Gates’s article goes astray: it never makes plain that, in spite of these reasonable anxieties and resentments, some ways of “looking at a black man”—at any man—are right and reasonable while others are wrong and malicious. Some of the people who burst into jubilation over the O.J. verdict were celebrating the release of a man whom they believed to be innocent. With due regard for the fact that two families have lost loved ones, that’s okay. But other blacks partied to a he-killed-the-blonde-and-got-away-with-it tune. For example, a sign held by a woman whose picture appeared in the New York Times Magazine read: “Guilty or Not We Love You O.J.” Gates quotes film director Spike Lee as follows: “A lot of black folks said, ‘Man, O.J. is bad, you know. This is the first brother in the history of the world who got away with murder of white folks, and a blonde, blue-eyed woman at that.’” Lee, Gates reports, “wasn’t happy” at the verdict. But some black folks were thrilled—and for morally indefensible reasons that Gates needs to condemn, not artfully explain.

    Nevertheless, the ambivalence and mistrust that many blacks feel toward the justice system is a social reality that whites can’t ignore. The Weekly Standard’s deputy editor, John Podhoretz, wrote in the magazine about the O.J. verdict and race relations under the double-meaning heading “Yes, We Do Understand”: “How can most black Americans believe (or say they believe) that O.J. Simpson is innocent of a crime science tells us there is a one-in-a-billion chance he did not commit? . . . We—that is, we upper-middle-class whites—must, by a process of study and observation, come to understand. And it will be ‘white’ institutions, from the Ford Foundation to the New York Times to America’s corporations, that will insist on fostering this understanding. . . . For the American liberal establishment, this has become the stock response after a public outrage that divides Americans by color. . . . Is black America so lost in its own resentment . . . that they feel closer kinship to a killer because of his skin color than to the killer’s victims? I can understand how this has happened, but it makes me sick.”

    Like Gates, Podhoretz never arrives at the right moral point. The point is that to understand is neither to forgive any criminal his crime nor to sit still when “racism” is used as an all-purpose excuse for morally abhorrent or socially pathological behavior. Like Podhoretz, I have little patience with liberal elites of whatever color who are nothing better than well-funded nihilists. I could not care less about understanding what they have to say, and I would not be the least bit concerned—if they were the only ones saying it.

    But they aren’t. All of us, “upper-middle-class whites” included, are morally required to understand and ponder what so many black folks have to say—not only the knee-jerk liberal pundits and politicians, but also world-class professors (like Wilson), plumbers, postal workers, paramedics, prosecutors, preachers, and (in my case) former students. Many of them are saying that they feel the justice system is as much a foe as a friend. As I will summarize below, I find almost nothing in the empirical research literature on racial disparities in sentencing to justify their fears and frustrations. But that does not mean their fears and frustrations are without any sort of empirical basis, including the kind that, for most of us, counts more than any other—our own lived experiences and those of our family and friends.

    As Gates recalls, Norman Podhoretz, the father of John Podhoretz and until recently the editor of Commentary, wrote a famous soul-searching 1963 essay, “My Negro Problem, and Ours.” Gates describes the essay as “one of the frankest accounts we have of liberalism and race resentment,” a plainspoken tale of “a Brooklyn boyhood spent under the shadow of carefree, cruel Negro assailants, and of the author’s residual unease when he passes groups of blacks in his Upper West Side neighborhood.” In one key passage, the elder Podhoretz noted: “I know now, as I did not know when I was a child, that power is on my side, that the police are working for me and not for them.”

    But I knew. Growing up in rough-edged, white-ethnic, working-class neighborhoods of Philadelphia in the 1960s and 1970s, I knew—as all the kids I grew up with knew—that when push literally came to shove, the police would be “working for me and not for them.” Each morning on my way to high school, I stood by myself at a bus stop, surrounded mainly by black teenagers from adjacent neighborhoods. I was by myself, but I was not alone. I knew that the cop in the cruiser was looking out for me in case “they” started trouble that I could not handle.

    My old neighborhood had its biracial, but strictly segregated, parks and playgrounds. When interracial fights did break out, everyone ran when the cops came. But we white boys knew that if we got caught and showed due deference to the officers (never mouth off to a panting cop), we’d get lectured, get our hair pulled, or (at most) get our fathers called. We also knew the black boys would get that and worse—slapped, clubbed, and maybe arrested.

    Once when I was unloading 100-pound flour bags at a downtown pizzeria where I worked, the cops came zooming up the sidewalk, got out of their cruiser, and pushed my pal and co-worker, Willie Brown, against the wall. They did not touch me. Willie, an illiterate black man then in his forties, had done nothing. I protested, and the cops sped off as quickly as they had come: “Sorry, kid, we got a call that somebody was stealing.” But the only “somebody” they grabbed was the black man, and the only apology they issued was to the white boy.

    I recall the second time my father, a retired deputy sheriff, ran a citywide race for sheriff and appointed me his manager (mainly to teach me something about politics before I “bought whatever they think they know about it at Harvard”). He ran on a real rainbow-coalition ticket with former deputy mayor Charles Bowser, Philly’s first major black mayoral candidate. We lost the election (no surprise) as well as good relations with some neighbors (sad surprise), one of whom loudly scolded me that “we’ll never be safe from crime if they’re in charge of it.”

    Even though I am now a card-carrying elite professor and “upper-middle-class white,” I have stayed close to home. I hang out with the same white working-class relatives and friends I’ve known all my life. I live a few minutes by car from some of Philadelphia’s worst black neighborhoods. So I have a very different perspective from that of most white intellectuals, both on the white ethnics who turn into the cops blacks fear and on the everyday reality of life in black communities. And as little as the white policy elites, liberal or conservative, know about “the black experience,” believe me, they know less about what race means in the lives of those Italian-American bricklayers, Irish-American gas pumpers, and Polish-American salesclerks whom the U.S. Census bureaucrats have baptized “non-Hispanic whites.” We need to understand these folks, too—and especially how their experience of black-white relations leaves a tangle of powerful contradictions and ambivalences, as I know vividly from my own experience.

    I indelibly remember taking a jump shot on the playground when I was ten. As the ball left my hand, instead of invoking, for luck, the name of a white star (as was customary), I unthinkingly shouted the name of a black star. “Nigger lover!” snapped a scandalized playmate. But the following week, the same kid punched out a white schoolyard bully for bothering a black girl who wandered by. I’ll never forget how much, when my frail grandmother got kicked, punched, and robbed in broad daylight for the third time (on her way to church, no less), the fact that her assailants were (once again) black boys got under my white skin. The memory of the anger is still there—along with the image of her in her hospital bed, imploring her strapping grandsons, some of us cops, to “love all God’s people.”

    So it’s no mystery to me that blacks tense when they see a white cop coming: they know the Willie Brown experience well enough, and how could they possibly know the sense of justice regardless of race, even the Christian caritas transcending race, that can lie beneath the blue uniform and the white skin? Just that white ambivalence is as familiar territory to me as it was to Norman Podhoretz. I grew up with it; I know that casual racism is there; I know the anger and shame you feel at seeing it all around you—and I know the competing anger, no less familiar: the anger at the knowledge that when real violence erupts, all too often the assailants are (once again) black.

    Honest blacks know this, too. In a recent issue of The New Republic, Boston University economist Glenn Loury writes of inner-city black communities: “‘What manner of people are you who live like this?’ The question is unavoidable. . . . It does no good to say that these are a minority of black persons; that there are good and sufficient reasons for their troubling behaviors; that others, who are not black, have also fallen short.” Of middle-class blacks, he admits: “We are afraid to go into these communities. We do not recognize these kids as us; the distance is great and difficult to bridge.”

    My black crime problem, and ours, is that for most Americans, especially for average white Americans, the distance is not merely great but almost unfathomable, the fear is enormous and largely justifiable, and the black kids who inspire the fear seem not merely unrecognizable but alien. Not that we can’t understand where they come from, when we stop to consider. After all, the child is father to the man: and think how many inner-city black children are without parents, relatives, neighbors, teachers, coaches, or clergymen to teach them right from wrong, give them loving and consistent discipline, show them the moral and material value of hard work and study, and bring them to cherish the self-respect that comes only from respecting the life, liberty, and property of others. Think how many black children grow up where parents neglect and abuse them, where other adults and teenagers harass and harm them, where drug dealers exploit them. Not surprisingly, in return for the favor, some of these children kill, rape, maim, and steal without remorse. And around goes the negative feedback loop: reasonable fear feeds unreasonable white race hostility, whose reality in turn feeds unreasonable black paranoia about the justice system.

    Is there anything social science research can do to help dispel all the ambivalence and confusion crowding around the subject of race and crime? At least it can tell the truth, as the data disclose it, about the reality of black crime and black punishment. The bottom line of most of the best research is that America’s justice system is not racist, not anymore, not as it undoubtedly was only a generation ago—in spite of the Driving While Black experience. If blacks are overrepresented in the ranks of the imprisoned, it is because blacks are overrepresented in the criminal ranks—and the violent criminal ranks, at that. Yes, there are ways in which the justice system is failing all Americans, including black Americans. But to the extent that the justice system hurts, rather than helps, blacks more than it does whites, it is not by incarcerating a “disproportionate” number of young black men. Rather, it is by ignoring poor black victims and letting convicted violent and repeat black criminals, both adult and juvenile, continue to victimize and demoralize the black communities that suffer most of their depredations.

    Consider the data. A 1993 study of the racial impact of federal sentencing guidelines found that the imposition between 1986 and 1990 of stiffer penalties for drug offenders, especially cocaine traffickers, did not result in racially disparate sentences. The amount of the drug sold, the seriousness of the offender’s prior criminal history, whether weapons were involved, and other such valid characteristics of criminals and their crimes accounted for all the observed interracial variations in prison sentences.

    Similarly, a 1991 RAND Corporation study of adult robbery and burglary defendants in 14 large U.S. cities found that a defendant’s race or ethnic group bore almost no relation to conviction rates, sentencing severity, or other key measures. In 1995, federal government statistician Patrick A. Langan analyzed data on 42,500 defendants in the nation’s 75 largest counties and found “no evidence that, in the places where blacks in the United States have most of their contacts with the justice system, that system treats them more harshly than whites.”

    A 1985 study by Langan of black-white differentials in imprisonment rates demonstrated that “even if racism exists, it might explain only a small part of the gap between the 11 percent black representation in the United States adult population and the now nearly 50 percent black representation among persons entering state prisons each year in the United States.” An otherwise typically liberal-leaning 1993 National Academy of Sciences study voiced the same basic conclusion.

    It is often asserted that the 1980s war on drugs resulted in a more racially “disproportionate” prison population. The data tell a different story. In 1980, 46.6 percent of state prisoners and 34.4 percent of federal prisoners were black; by 1990, 48.9 percent of state prisoners and 31.4 percent of federal prisoners were black. In 1988, the median time served in confinement by black violent offenders was 25 months, versus 24 months for their white counterparts. The mean sentence lengths were 116 months for blacks and 110 for whites, while the mean times actually served in confinement were 37 months for blacks, 33 months for whites. These small differences are explained by the fact that black violent crimes are generally more serious than white ones (aggravated rather than simple assaults, weapon-related crimes rather than weaponless ones).

    Indeed, the evidence on the race-neutrality of incarceration decisions is now so compelling that even topflight criminologists who rail against the anti-drug regime, mandatory sentencing laws, three-strikes laws, and other policies with which they disagree are nonetheless careful to contend that racial biases are “built into the law,” are “America’s dirty little secret,” or constitute “malign neglect.” In other words, they do everything but challenge the proposition that blacks and whites who do the same crimes and have similar criminal records are now handled by the system in the same ways.

    In this vein, liberal experts contend that the penalties for crack cocaine possession and sale are excessive compared with powder cocaine penalties. I concur. And liberals are also right that blacks are far more likely than whites to use and sell crack instead of powder cocaine. But they go badly wrong on two key counts. First, they feed the conspiratorial myth that federal anti-crack penalties were born of a white conspiracy led by right-wing Republicans. Go check the Congressional Record: in 1986, when the federal crack law was debated, the Congressional Black Caucus (CBC) supported it, and some CBC members pressed for even harsher penalties. A few years earlier it was CBC members and other Democrats in Congress who pushed President Reagan, against his considered judgment, to create the Office of National Drug Control Policy (better known as the drug czar’s office). And it was President Clinton who recently refused in no uncertain terms to change the federal penalty structure for drug crimes.

    Second, liberal experts and advocates of drug legalization cloud the facts about who really goes to prison for drug crimes. As I and several other researchers have concluded, society gets little return on its investment in locking up low-level offenders who possess or even traffic in small amounts of drugs and commit no other crimes. But most drug offenders, both those behind bars and those who have served their time, do not fit that description.

    As a recent study funded by the National Institute of Justice and other federal agencies acknowledged, in “an important sense the label ‘drug offender’ is a misnomer.” Few “drug offenders” are in prison for mere possession. In 1991, for example, only 2 percent of the 36,648 persons admitted to federal prisons were in for drug possession. Moreover, as for imprisoned drug traffickers, most have long and diversified criminal records—only their latest and most serious conviction offense is a drug-trafficking offense. Even in the much-maligned federal system, few convicted drug traffickers, whether they handle crack, powder cocaine, or pot, are black college kids or white white-collar types arrested on the interstate by a state trooper who found a small stash under the driver’s seat. The average quantity of drugs involved in federal cocaine trafficking cases is 183 pounds, while the average for marijuana traffickers is 3.5 tons.

    In an ongoing study of who really goes to prison in Wisconsin, George Mitchell and I are examining the complete criminal records, adult and juvenile, of a randomly selected sample of imprisoned felons from Milwaukee County. We are finding that the imprisoned “drug offenders,” black and white, like most of the rest of the sample, have committed many times more property, drug, and violent crimes than the latest entries on their prison rap sheets would indicate. This is not to mention all the crimes swept completely under the official-records rug by plea bargaining, or all the wholly undetected, unprosecuted, and unpunished crimes the prisoners have committed while free.

    Of course, there are cases of truly petty drug dealers, black and white, being hit with long, hard time. But such cases are the exception that proves the rule, and the rule is that the system is neither harsh nor racist in dealing with “drug offenders” or other criminals.

    Some experts will come almost to the point of agreement with all that, but still will insist that the system is anything but color-blind when it comes to two important tasks: punishing juveniles and dishing out death sentences. But here, too, the evidence does more to exonerate than to indict the system.

    Out of hundreds of post-1969 studies of minorities in the juvenile justice system, barely two dozen offer evidence of any pattern of racial discrimination. Even so, liberal strongholds like the federal Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (OJJDP)—which made a cavalierly fragmentary and outdated examination of only 46 of the 250 relevant studies—continue to purvey the myth that young black offenders are treated more severely than young white ones. Notwithstanding OJJDP and its race-baiting minions, the truth is not that the juvenile system is racist, or that the states incarcerate too many minority juvenile offenders—or, indeed, too many juvenile offenders of whatever background.

    Rather, as the National District Attorneys Association and other law enforcement officials have said for years, the juvenile system is an even worse revolving door than the adult system. For example, in 1991 fewer than 20,000 male juvenile violent offenders were in public juvenile facilities—but in 1992 alone there were more than 110,000 juvenile arrests for violent crimes, and more than 1.6 million juvenile arrests for other crimes. In most states, police, prosecutors, and judges do not even have complete access to juvenile records, and some states still forbid fingerprinting juveniles, including kids charged with weapons offenses that would be grade-A felonies if committed by adults.

    Over the coming decade, juvenile arrests in California and many other states are projected to increase by some 25 percent, even more for minority juveniles. By the year 2005 we will probably have 200,000 convicted juvenile criminals, half of them black males, in secure confinement, including adult prisons and jails—over three times more than the number of incarcerated juveniles today. The reason for this will not be racism or what OJJDP calls “disproportionate minority confinement.” The reason will be that more black boys grew up without adults who were willing and able to save them—and their victims—from tragedy.

    What should be done with cold-blooded killers of whatever race? Like most other Americans, the majority of black Americans favor the death penalty. Yet around that punishment swirls the most acrimonious of all racial disparity controversies. Here too, though, the data disclose no trace of racism.

    Reviewing the evidence in 1994, Professors Stanley Rothman and Stephen Powers concluded that after controlling for all relevant variables, one finds simply no evidence of racial disparities in post-1972 capital sentencing. The crucial variable is the severity of the crime. Though the vast majority of murders are committed by someone of the same race as the victim, black-on-white murders are more likely than black-on-black murders to be cases of strangers killing strangers and to “involve kidnapping and rape, mutilations, execution-style murders, tortures, and beatings,” according to Rothman and Powers. “These are all aggravating circumstances that increase the likelihood of a death sentence.”

    Even the raw statistics don’t show much sign of racism. From the day the U.S. Supreme Court reinstated the death penalty in 1976 through the end of 1993, more than 400,000 Americans were murdered. Over the same period, only 226 killers were executed, 38 percent of them black. In 1993, blacks were 40 percent of the 2,716 prisoners on death row and 36 percent of the 38 convicted murderers executed. The scandalous truth is, most of the thousands of murderers behind bars don’t face too harsh but too lenient a punishment. Most get out of prison. Murderers released from state prisons in 1992 served an average of only 5.9 years. There is no evidence that black murderers get out any less quickly than comparable white ones.

    Yet, as with juvenile justice, anti-death penalty partisans, including congressmen, promote racially charged falsehoods like those that flew during the 1994 debate in Congress over the so-called Racial Justice Act (RJA). Though this disgraceful bill, which would have established a de facto racial quota system in murder cases, was defeated, it got very serious consideration. It was based on the shoddiest possible research, purporting to show that because of racism, more blacks than whites are executed for similar crimes, and that the law values white victims’ lives more than black victims’ lives. But in fact, contrary to the fevered fantasies of the RJA’s supporters that we have hardly progressed beyond the days of racist lynchings, we actually have arrived at a day when in murder cases generally, and in black-on-white murder cases in particular, “going for the death penalty” has become such a political, judicial, and media nightmare for big-city prosecutors that many urban DAs do not even try. Many, like L.A. District Attorney Gil Garcetti—the man who spared O.J. a death sentence even faster than the jury spared him any sentence at all—not only avoid the death penalty but seem more concerned with preempting any possibility of false but damaging accusations of racism than in following the rule of law, protecting the public, doing the work, and taking the heat.

    Recently a page-one story in the Wall Street Journal tackled the question of “jury nullification” in cases involving black defendants. It is increasingly common for black jurors to “side with African-American defendants against a mostly white-dominated justice system,” even to the point of acquitting black defendants whom the jurors know to be guilty on the legal merits—and even when the victims are black. More black jurors “are choosing to disregard the evidence, however powerful, because they seek to protest racial injustice and to refrain from adding to the already large number of blacks behind bars.” The story noted that in the Bronx, where juries are more than 80 percent black and Hispanic, black defendants are acquitted in felony cases 47.6 percent of the time—three times the national acquittal rate of 17 percent for all races. In Washington, D.C., where virtually all defendants and 70 percent of jurors are black, 28.7 percent of all felony trials end in acquittals. Similar patterns hold in Detroit and several other cities where black jurors predominate. Paul Butler, a black criminal-law professor at George Washington University, was quoted as arguing that in cases involving black defendants charged with nonviolent crimes, black jurors should “presume in favor of nullification.”

    A response to racism? Something more is at issue, for this isn’t happening just in cases where black jurors are hearing white cops testify against black criminals. Black jurors’ resistance to police witnesses has grown even as virtually every big city has increased the percentage of blacks on its police force, moved the force ever nearer to mirroring the racial composition of its citizenry, and seen blacks become precinct captains, deputy chiefs, commissioners, and mayors. Between 1983 and 1992, the percentage of blacks on big-city police forces increased in each and every one of the nation’s ten biggest police departments—rising 50 percent to 67.8 percent in Washington, D.C., to take one example, where blacks were 65.8 percent of the local population.

    Most whites and blacks now accept living, working, shopping, playing, side by side—every interracial interaction save marriage. And yet on crime, America seems closer than ever to becoming two nations separated by race rather than one nation under God. Why? At least part of the reason is that we are inundated with statistics about race, crime, and punishment that needlessly fan black concerns about white racism.

    In 1993 the National Center on Institutions and Alternatives (NCIA), an advocacy group that opposes mandatory sentencing and favors making a greater use of probation, parole, and rehabilitation programs, publicized its finding that “43 percent of all young black men in Washington, D.C.—and 56 percent in Baltimore—are firmly in the grip of the justice system.” The press broadcast the numbers far and wide. As was later revealed in an analysis by the American Alliance for Rights and Responsibilities, the statistics were a bit inflated, but even after appropriate correction, the NCIA study would still have found about 35 percent of Washington’s young black men in prison, in jail, on probation, or on parole. Indeed, in a highly publicized 1995 report, the Sentencing Project, a Washington-based counterpart of NCIA, found that nationwide about one in three black males age 20 to 29 was under some form of correctional supervision. As the Sentencing Project reported, in 1989 about 610,000 black males in their twenties—23 percent of the cohort—were in custody. But by 1995 that number had risen to over 827,000—32.2 percent of the nation’s twenty-something black males. One could quibble with the estimates, but the finding is valid; in fact, my own estimates would indicate that the number is already closer to 50 percent in some places, and that nationally it will be nearer to a half than a third by the year 2000.

    As the Sentencing Project boasts, “the report has had a major impact in the media and among policymakers.” Oddly, however, its “major impact” has been to divert attention from the big truth that one in three young black males is under correctional supervision because young black male rates of serious crime are so high. Instead it has focused attention on the half-truths and outright distortions long purveyed by the Sentencing Project, other anti-incarceration advocacy groups, and their funders and allies in the drug legalization movement, the liberal foundations, the politically correct universities, and the elite media. The mantra goes like this: how shameful to America that one in three young black males is in custody . . . most of those in custody are in for petty drug crimes . . . revolving-door justice is a right-wing myth . . . the justice system is racist . . . America has been on an imprisonment binge . . . prisons don’t cut crime in the least . . . imprisonment is not only an ineffective response to crime but a racist one.

    Predictably, the Sentencing Project and its turn-’em-loose comrades-in-arms have now begun to dig for more such racially polarizing pay dirt. For example, the Center for Juvenile and Criminal Justice in San Francisco recently “found” that 40 percent of black men in their twenties in California were under some form of correctional supervision. Representative Maxine Waters held a news conference in which she declared the study proof that in California the color of your skin dictates whether you will be arrested or not, prosecuted harshly or less harshly, or receive a stiff sentence or gain probation or entry into treatment. The report itself called for a moratorium on prison construction in California until the state’s penal code is “overhauled.” It also called for mandating “racial impact statements” in all new crime legislation, and for a state commission to study black “overrepresentation.” Except for a very few dissenting voices, including the nation’s leading crime-policy scholar, UCLA’s James Q. Wilson, virtually all the published and broadcast “expert” commentary on this report followed the radical-liberal party line.

    The Sentencing Project and its supporters can pretend all they want that racism and the “war on drugs” have put too many harmless young black males in prison. But are racist drug laws responsible for the fact that weapons arrest rates during 1993 were five times greater for blacks than for whites? Do they explain the fact that 47 percent of all black men in prison in 1995 were in for a violent crime, and that most black state prisoners, like most state prisoners, have committed one or more violent crimes in the past? Do they explain the fact that the black men in prison for a drug crime were, like virtually all prisoners, repeat offenders with non-drug crimes on their rap sheets?

    There are Washington monument-sized fallacies and contradictions in what the Sentencing Project and its allied spin doctors have argued about “1 in 3.” For example, the system is supposedly “racist” because it hammers black drug dealers. But who wants them hammered? Look at the survey data on decriminalizing or legalizing drugs. Without fail, blacks are every bit as opposed to weakening anti-drug enforcement efforts as whites. Only 30 percent of blacks would even consider legalizing marijuana; virtually none will even debate legalizing harder drugs. My dear friend and former colleague Ethan Nadelmann is director of the Lindesmith Center and the country’s leading proponent of turning down the volume on the drug war. His most vehement, unyielding critics are not middle-class whites led by right-wing Republicans. Rather, they are poor and working-class blacks led by folks like New York’s black Democratic Representative Charles Rangel.

    What if, for argument’s sake, one swallows the notion that the system now “over-punishes” black drug dealers, and that most of these “drug dealers” are not, in fact, plea bargain–gorged persons with long adult and juvenile records of criminal mischief against persons and property? What then? Which drug-crime 911 calls from black neighborhoods are the police to ignore? Which black drug dealers should be released back to their communities tomorrow morning?

    You can’t have it both ways—protesting that police are less responsive to black crime victims than to white ones in one breath, charging that “too many” black victimizers get caught, convicted, and sentenced, in the next; spinning out conspiratorial theories of white acquiescence in letting drugs flow into black communities in the morning, complaining that efforts to crack down on the drug trade are motivated by racism in the afternoon.

    Take a look at the chart on page 27. Based on its latest crime victimization surveys, the U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics estimates that in 1993 alone blacks committed 1.29 million violent crimes against other blacks—80 percent of all violent crimes against blacks. Blacks also committed 1.54 million violent crimes against whites—18 percent of all violent crimes against whites.

    As a number of analysts have begun to notice, blacks are about 50 times more likely to commit violent crimes against whites than whites are to commit violent crimes against blacks. Like the Sentencing Project’s “1 in 3” number, this “50 to 1” statistic is technically correct. If you divide the total number of black-on-white violent crimes in 1993 (1.29 million) by the number of black males age 20 to 29 in the population in 1993 (3.94 million), you get a ratio equal to 1,013 violent crimes against whites per 10,000 young black males. If you do the same calculation for the total number of white-on-black crimes (186,000) divided by the total number of twenty-something white males (22.9 million), you get a ratio of 17.6 violent crimes committed by whites against blacks for every 10,000 young white males. Thus, the incidence of interracial black-on-white violent crime by young black males (1,013) is 57.5 times the incidence of interracial white-on-black crime by young white males (17.6). Using different denominators (for example, white versus black males age 15 to 29) moves the statistic down a bit (in the example given, to 48 to 1). But it clusters around “50 to 1.”

    In his recent essay in The New Republic, Glenn Loury explains that “there are roughly eight times as many whites as blacks; and there are about six times as many violent criminals per capita among blacks as among whites. So, if criminals chose their victims at random, without regard to race, one would expect the black-on-white victimization rate per black person to be 48 times as large as the white-on-black rate per white person. Thus, it does not appear that black criminals take affirmative action to find white victims.”

    Loury is absolutely right, and he or I or any other competent analyst could fashion a half-dozen fancier ways of minimizing the “50 to 1” statistic. In the end, however, nothing we could produce would be other than cold comfort to white victims of black criminals. For every such “explanation” merely underlines the reality behind both “1 in 3” and “50 to 1”: namely, that young black males do commit serious crimes at a much higher rate than whites. Worse, where the growing problems of black juvenile and “wolf pack” crimes are concerned, it may well be that young black criminals really are targeting white victims. For example, as even OJJDP has noted, while about 95 percent of all violent crimes committed by white juveniles in 1991 were against whites, 57 percent of all violent crimes committed by black juveniles also were against whites.

    The simple if unpalatable truth, therefore, is that even if we decriminalized black drug-dealing, there would still be racial “disproportionalities” in the justice system. Even if we also decriminalized all black crime save black-on-black violent crime, racial “disproportionalities” would persist.

    Here’s a suggestive calculation. In 1991, 372,200 black men were in prison, along with 363,600 white men. About 60 percent of all prisoners in 1991 had committed one or more violent crimes in the past. Suppose that we released 40 percent of the black prisoners—the 40 percent, say, with either no official history of violence or the least severe records of it. That would leave 223,320 black men behind bars. Then, because slightly more than half of the violent crimes committed by blacks are committed against whites, let’s release, say, 55 percent of the remaining black violent male offenders. That would leave 100,494 black males in prison, 27 percent of 1991ís actual total. They would be doing time with 3.6 times as many white males. But since whites in the general population still would outnumber blacks by roughly 8 to 1, the racial “disproportionality” would persist. To make it disappear completely—to get an 8-to-1 white-black ratio in prison—we would have to release all but 45,450 of the 372,200 black men in prison in 1991.

    Similarly, 605,062 black adults were on probation in 1993, compared with 1,132,092 white adults, and 240,767 black adults were on parole, compared with 236,083 white adults. Thus, the total black adult community-based corrections population (probation plus parole) numbered 845,829, compared with 1.36 million whites. Let’s say we believed that fully 70 percent of all black probationers and parolees, but none of the white ones, were innocent victims of a racist “war on drugs” and should never have been arrested. That would leave 253,749 black adults on probation and parole. We would still have only 5.3, not eight, times as many white adults as blacks “in custody” in the community. To eliminate entirely the racial “disproportionalities” in probation and parole, all but about 170,000 of the more than 800,000 black adults under community-based supervision in 1993 would have to be expunged from the rolls.

    Even if, therefore, the justice system punished only those blacks who commit violent crimes—indeed, even if it punished only black violent criminals whose victims were themselves black—blacks would still be “overrepresented” in prison, in jail, on probation, and on parole. Thus, instead of all the ideological nonsense about “1 in 3” and the like, we should begin to focus in common on how revolving-door justice harms all Americans, most especially blacks. As the bipartisan Council on Crime in America has reported: “America’s violent crime problem, especially the rage of homicidal and near-homicidal violence, is extremely concentrated among young urban minority males. . . . A study of murders committed in the nation’s 75 most populous counties found that blacks were 52 percent of all murder victims and 62 percent of all murder defendants,” but “they were only 20 percent of the general population in these metropolitan jurisdictions. . . . Between 1985 and 1992 the rate at which males ages 14 through 17 committed murder increased by about 50 percent for whites and over 300 percent for blacks. Between 1973 and 1992 the rate of violent victimizations of black males ages 12 to 24 increased about 25 percent; for example, black males ages 16 to 19 sustained one violent crime for 11 persons in 1973 versus one for every six in 1992.”

    For God’s sake, let’s be truthful. Especially in urban America, white fears of black crime—like black fears of black crime—are rational far more than reactionary or racist. If Americans are to learn how to deal in common with black crime as a problem of “sin, not skin,” as Glenn Loury puts it—as a correctable moral defect of individuals, not some ineradicable racial fate—then we must hear and heed those leaders, black and white, liberal and conservative, who are speaking and doing something about it.

    Hear Robert L. Woodson Sr., leader of the National Center for Neighborhood Enterprise. A veteran of the civil rights movement and an organizer of community- and faith-based groups that reach poor blacks and their children, Woodson speaks not of white racism but of “moral vagrants” in the black community who prey upon their disadvantaged neighbors.

    Hear John W. Gillis, another prominent black, who heads California’s parole board and is a member of the Council on Crime in America. On the day the council’s first report was released to the press, Gillis stared into the cameras and implored responsible journalists to remember who normally puts black convicted criminals where they are, and why: black victims, black witnesses, and black communities—in order to do justice and to protect themselves from murder, mayhem, and deadly drug dealing.

    Hear the grief-stricken family of Philadelphia police officer Lauretha Vaird, the city’s first female cop—and first black woman—to be killed in the line of duty. Officer Vaird was murdered in cold blood, execution-style. Two of her three alleged killers are 26-year-old local black “gangsta” rappers who apparently practice the hate they sing. Vaird’s family members are calling for justice—life in prison or the electric chair for the killers.

    Hear Debra Dickerson, the self-described liberal black sister of a young black man paralyzed from the waist down in a drive-by shooting. Read her intensely gripping, highly personal essay published in The New Republic, “Who Shot Johnny?” Therein she rages at the black assailant who shot her brother and left him for dead. His “crime”? Waving hello at a car full of boys whom he mistakenly thought he knew. The assailant stood over his bleeding, barely conscious body and said, “Betch’ou won’t be doin’ nomo’ wavin’, motha’fucker.” The vicious attacker was never caught.

    Hear Harvard law professor Randall Kennedy, who in a 1994 Wall Street Journal op-ed described as “dangerous” the response “that cries ‘racism’ as part of an all-out defense of any black accused of wrongdoing by ‘white’ authorities, regardless of the facts of the case,” and as “troubling” the “position of some blacks that they will refuse to help send any black person to prison.”

    Hear the Reverend Jesse Jackson. For over a decade, no national black leader has argued more eloquently against policies that offer blacks jails instead of jobs—and none was quicker to make hay of the Sentencing Project’s “1 in 3” finding. But recall Jackson’s own tortured words on November 27, 1993: “There is nothing more painful for me at this stage of my life than to walk down the street and hear footsteps and start to think about robbery and then look around and see it’s somebody white and feel relieved. How humiliating.”

    Above all, hear the Reverend Eugene Rivers of Boston. In the 1960s, Rivers was a member of one of Philadelphia’s most violent black street gangs. Then the Reverend Ben Smith, a legend in the City of Brotherly Love, set him on the right path. As the Harvard-educated Rivers preaches: “For the people of God, every crisis, no matter how grim, presents a unique opportunity that can only be seen with the eyes of faith. For example, in racially war-torn Boston, black, Roman Catholic, and Jewish clergy have come together by faith to develop concrete strategies” for reducing crime and violence among black youth. In particular, under Rivers’s leadership, dozens of black churches have begun moving together to look after abused or neglected inner-city black children, to stand up to drug dealers and gangsters, to spark local business development, and to reclaim the streets and end the terrors.

    Rivers, his wife, and his two young children live in the Four Corners section of Dorchester, one of Boston’s most violent black neighborhoods, where in 1991 three bullets from a gang shoot-out flew into Rivers’s three-year-old son’s bedroom. In 1993, Rivers grabbed a local crack merchant by the collar and told him not to deal at the local playground. “I told him, brother, I’ll get you a job, I’ll get you up for college—the whole nine yards,” he says. “He told me to kiss his ass. So I did like I promised: I busted him—called the cops and probation and said, come get him now. They did.” A week later, back on the streets and out for revenge, the kid drove by Rivers’s house at 2 am and pumped it with gunfire. No one was hurt.

    As Rivers recalled: “The question from all the hoodlums in the neighborhood after that was, ‘Is the minister going to cut and run?’” He stayed. He reformed the kid who shot up his home. He branched out, developing alliances with other churches, setting up neighborhood crime-watch programs, and developing a host of practical, tough-love programs, including “adopting a gang” for evangelistic outreach, and commissioning “missionaries” to go to court with juveniles, to make sure both that they get a fair shake and that they comply with the court’s requirements. Rivers and his small group of talented volunteers work closely with city officials, the local police, the Catholic Church and schools, and just about everyone else who might make a positive difference in the lives of the kids he’s trying to save.

    Rivers styles himself a “Christian black nationalist.” No one in America is less romantic about the record of inner-city black churches; no one is more realistic about their dwindling congregations, often near-empty coffers, and negative attraction to today’s angry young black males. At the same time, no one understands better that when you get right down to it, a resurrection of the inner-city black churches is the one and only key to the resurrection of civil society in crime-and-drugs-ravaged black inner-city neighborhoods. A moral problem—a deficit of conscience, of values, of connectedness—requires a moral solution, and only a moral institution that comes out of the black community, such as the black church, can bring to bear the moral authority to solve it. “It’s barbed wire and more black juvenile super-predators,” observes Rivers, “or civil society and stronger black churches. It’s that simple.”

    Since November 1994, conservatives have been talking lots about civil society. Now, however, comes the test. Rivers, Smith, and others aren’t out there talking; they’re out there doing. In Smith’s case, he’s been doing it for 50 years, a textbook example of the self-reliant, family-centered, church-based, community-strengthening, not-a-penny-from-government approach today’s conservative theorists applaud. Conservative elites who are pushing welfare cuts should be putting their own money and influence into supporting the Riverses and the Smiths of inner-city America.

    As Rivers exhorts, we must “together embrace the youth, disciplining our young people.” In particular, he implores Christians to remember that “whatever you do for the least of these brothers and sisters, you do for Jesus.” Amen.

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