Strategic Implications of American Millennialism
A Monograph
by
MAJOR Brian L. Stuckert
U.S. Army
School of Advanced Military Studies
United States A l Staff College
Fort Leavenworth, Kansas
AY 2008
rmy Command and Genera
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Abstract
STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS OF AMERICAN MILLENNIALISM by MAJOR Brian L.
Stuckert, U.S. ARMY, 61 pages.
Since the beginning of the Republic, various forms of millennial religious doctrines, of
which dispensational pre-millennialism is the most recent, have shaped U.S. national security
strategy. As the dominant form of millennialism in the U.S. evolves, it drives changes in U.S.
security policy and subsequent commitment of the instruments of national power. Millennial
ideas contribute to a common American understanding of international relations that guide our
thinking irrespective of individual religious or political affiliation. Millennialism has great
explanatory value, significant policy implications, and creates potential vulnerabilities that
adversaries may exploit.
In the simplest usage of the word, millennialism refers to any belief system, religious or
secular, which anticipates a purification of society or the world through dramatic and sweeping
change. In the U.S. today, the most well-known and influential form of millennialism is a
religious variant known in formal, theological parlance as dispensational pre-millennialism. This
contemporary form of millennialism took shape during the 1970s and has significantly shaped
current U.S. security policy. Dispensational pre-millennialism is loosely based on depictions of
battle between the forces of good and evil in the biblical Book of Revelation. In the U.S.,
dispensational pre-millennialism contends that in the very near future Jesus Christ will ‘rapture,’
or remove his church from the Earth. A period of intense tribulations and battles will follow,
culminating with a cataclysmic defeat of Satan. Jesus would then establish an earthly kingdom for
1,000 years – the millennium. Today, the theological doctrines of dispensational pre-
millennialism contribute significantly to American culture. This has resulted in a pervasive sense
of determinism and pessimism that has significant implications for U.S. security policy around
the world.
iii
iv
Military leaders, planners and strategists require greater understanding of American
millennial thought. Millennialism shapes both American culture and U.S. government policy.
While most Americans are influenced to some degree by the ideas of pre-millennialism, many are
unaware of the philosophical or theological underpinnings. Military leaders charged with
interpreting policy into strategy and acting on behalf of the nation on the international stage
cannot afford to remain ignorant of the effects of pre-millennialism. Due to a general lack of
awareness of millennialism and an uneasy reticence to discuss religious factors, understanding
and analysis of our own policies and motives is often deficient. Additionally, the cultural imprint
that derives from millennialism impairs our understanding of the words, actions and motives of
other actors on the world stage. These factors can be problematic for any military leader or
planner attempting to achieve U.S. Government policy objectives through strategy, operations
and programs.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
WHY MILLENNIALISM MATTERS...........................................................................................1
THE ROLE OF CIVIL RELIGION AND CULTURE...................................................................4
MILLENNIAL THEOLOGIES IN AMERICA..............................................................................6
POST-MILLENNIALISM AND THE FOUNDING OF AMERICA...........................................21
CIVIL WAR, WORLD WAR AND THE RISE OF PRE-MILLENNIALISM............................24
ISRAEL, NUCLEAR WAR AND THE LAST DAYS.................................................................27
CONTEMPORARY PRE-MILLENNIALISM IN THE AMERICAN ELECTORATE..............33
CONTEMPORARY PRE-MILLENNIALISM AND AMERICAN CULTURE.........................38
THE HOLY LAND AND ARMAGEDDON: U.S. POLICY IN THE MIDDLE EAST..............44
ANTI-CHRIST, GOG, MAGOG, AND ARMIES FROM THE EAST........................................51
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS........................................................................57
BIBLIOGRAPHY.........................................................................................................................62
v
WHY MILLENNIALISM MATTERS
The impact of American millennial religious ideas on U.S. Government policy will add to
strategic hubris, compel increasingly reckless international action, and continue to over-commit
the military in ways the Nation cannot afford. Military leaders, planners and strategists require
greater awareness and understanding of American millennial thought. Millennialism has always
been a feature of the American culture and has shaped not only the objectives of U.S. government
policy, but also the way in which we interpret the words and actions of other actors on the
international stage. Since the beginning of the Republic, various forms of millennial religious
doctrines, of which dispensational pre-millennialism is the most recent, have shaped U.S. national
security strategy. As the dominant form of millennialism in the U.S. evolves, it drives changes in
U.S. security policy and subsequent commitment of the instruments of national power.
Millennial ideas contribute to a common American understanding of international relations that
guide our thinking irrespective of individual religious or political affiliation. Millennialism has
great explanatory value, significant policy implications, and creates potential vulnerabilities that
adversaries may exploit.
In the simplest usage of the word, millennialism refers to any belief system, religious or
secular, which anticipates a purification of society or the world through dramatic and sweeping
change. In the U.S. today, the most well-known and influential form of millennialism is a
religious variant known in formal, theological parlance as dispensational pre-millennialism. This
contemporary form of millennialism took shape during the 1970s and has significantly shaped
current U.S. security policy. Dispensational pre-millennialism is loosely based on depictions of
battle between the forces of good and evil in the biblical Book of Revelation. In the U.S.,
dispensational pre-millennialism contends that in the very near future Jesus Christ will ‘rapture,’
or remove his church from the Earth. A period of intense tribulations and battles will follow,
1
culminating with a cataclysmic defeat of Satan. Jesus would then establish an earthly kingdom for
1,000 years – the millennium. Today, the theological doctrines of dispensational pre-
millennialism contribute significantly to American culture. This has resulted in a pervasive sense
of determinism and pessimism in that has significant implications for U.S. security policy around
the world.
While most Americans are influenced to some degree by the ideas of pre-millennialism,
many are unaware of the philosophical or theological underpinnings. Military leaders charged
with interpreting policy into strategy and acting on behalf of the nation on the international stage
cannot afford to remain ignorant of the effects of pre-millennialism. Due to a general lack of
awareness of millennialism and an uneasy reticence to discuss religious factors, understanding
and analysis of our own policies and motives is often deficient or flawed. Additionally, the
cultural imprint that derives from millennialism impairs our understanding of the words, actions
and motives of other actors on the world stage. These factors can be problematic for any military
leader or planner attempting to achieve U.S. Government policy objectives through strategy,
operations and programs.
Military leaders and planners must recognize that, to the extent that actual and potential
adversaries may analyze American millennial thought, there may be significant advantages
available to the enemy. First, millennial thought and its policy implications may create strategic
transparency that affords adversaries an advantage in decision-making. Second, an understanding
of American millennial thinking may provide adversaries with the means to manipulate American
policy and subsequent action. Third, the enemy may exploit American millennialism to increase
the fragility of and even disrupt coalitions. Fourth, adversaries may exploit American
millennialism to demoralize or terrorize joint forces and the American people. By recognizing
these potential vulnerabilities, military leaders and planners may take action now to mitigate the
effects.
2
This monograph will define and describe the basic theological concepts associated with
millennialism. I will explain the development of the philosophy of dispensational pre-
millennialism, with an emphasis on how dispensational pre-millennialism has been shaped by
U.S. policy and global events. I will then explore the inverse of the relationship by examining the
ways in which religion, and specifically various forms of millennialism, has shaped U.S. history
and policy. The synthesis of American history and millennial theology will highlight the role of
early American post-millennialism and the resulting tendency toward isolationism during the
same period. I will examine the role of the U.S. Civil War in undermining the philosophy of post-
millennialism and the influence of dispensational pre-millennialists such as Darby and Scofield in
filling the philosophical void on the stage of American religion following that conflict. I will
examine the interaction between World War I and the emerging ideas of pre-millennialism and
the subsequent influence of this philosophy on shifting U.S. strategic attitudes. Most importantly,
I will examine the import of the establishment of the state of Israel to American millennialism
and subsequent security policy implications that dominate U.S. foreign relations today.
This monograph will employ 1967 to the present as the era of contemporary
millennialism and illustrate how American religion provides extraordinary explanatory power for
current conflicts and policy. I will consider the current religious psyche of the American
electorate, shared cultural resources and current apocalyptic influences. I will explore potential
impacts on policy making by examining the relationship of prominent millennial thinkers to U.S.
presidential administrations, the influence of millennial thinkers and groups on the U.S. congress,
and the impact of millennialism on contemporary U.S. culture as a component of the policy
making environment. I will examine patterns of U.S. security policy in the Middle East, to
include patterns of security cooperation with Israel. Finally, given a framework for understanding
the relationship between millennialism and U.S. policy, I will suggest areas of concern,
vulnerabilities and make suggestions for future action.
3
THE ROLE OF CIVIL RELIGION AND CULTURE
“You can't look at the headlines these days — the Middle East is on the brink of all-out war,
stifling heat waves are blanketing the United States and fundamentally different belief systems
are clashing in the stem cell debate — and not conjure up apocalyptic visions.” – Chuck Raasch
in USA Today, 20 July 20061
According to American sociologist Robert Bellah, within the U.S. “there actually exists
alongside of and rather clearly differentiated from the churches an elaborate and well-
institutionalized civil religion2 in America...this religious dimension-has its own seriousness and
integrity and requires the same care in understanding that any other religion does.”3 Americans
are accustomed to frequent use of religious language by U.S. presidents, especially when
discussing foreign affairs or security policy. The use of religious language and concepts to
explain U.S. foreign policy is a common example of the influence of civil religion.
The U.S. bases its foreign affairs and security goals on Protestant millennial ideas that
date back to seventeenth-century England.4 Millennialism has always been a feature of the
American culture and has shaped not only the objectives of U.S. government policy, but also the
way in which we interpret the words and actions of other actors on the international stage.
Americans have always practiced some form of millennialism. Protestant millennialism can take
many forms. These different forms of millennialism can lead one to very different conclusions
when used as a guide for government policy. Before the U.S. Civil War, Americans were heavily
influenced by the dominant form of millennialism of that day known as post-millennialism. Since
1
Raasch, Chuck. ‘In the Headlines, Glimpses of the Apocalypse,’ USA Today, 20 July 2006.
Available on-line: http://www.usatoday.com/news/opinion/columnist/raasch/2006-07-20-raasch_x.htm,
retrieved on: 11 January 2008.
2
Rousseau coined the term ‘civil religion’ in chapter 8, book 4 of The Social Contract. Rousseau
asserted that civil religion was common agreement on the existence of God, the life to come, the reward of
virtue and the punishment of vice, and the exclusion of religious intolerance. All other religious opinions
are outside the cognizance of the state and may be freely held by citizens.
3
Bellah, Robert N. ‘Civil Religion in America,’ Dædalus: Journal of the American Academy of
Arts and Sciences, Winter 1967, Vol. 96, No. 1, pp. 1-21. Available on-line: http://www.robertbellah.com/
articles_5.htm, retrieved 5 December 2007.
4
Judis, John B. ‘The Chosen Nation: The Influence of Religion on U.S. Foreign Policy,’ Policy
Brief, 37, March 2005, Washington, D.C.: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 1.
4
the Civil War, a new form of millennialism, known as dispensational pre-millennialism, has
emerged as a significant component of American culture. Dispensational pre-millennialism and
its concomitant apocalyptic worldview will continue to have numerous foreign policy and
security implications for the United States in years to come.
Millennial ideas contribute to a common American understanding of international
relations that in many cases transcend individual religious or political affiliation. Eschatological
beliefs inform a culture's interpretations about how Christians are to be ‘in the world but not of
the world’5 and “function to influence and justify collective action.”6 Where contemporary
American millennialism is concerned, collective anxiety over things like apocalyptic war, an
Anti-Christ alive and at work somewhere on the Earth and the need to secure our eternal destiny
by our own hand will lead to a misguided foreign and security policy that increasingly relies upon
employment of the military instrument of power.
Contemporary American millennialism, and especially its contributions to the broader
culture, derives from and adapts to specifically political circumstances and concerns for which
religion provides an underlying framework. Most scholars see a definite connection between
apocalypticism and times of crisis.7 In a period of crisis, there seems to be something within the
human psyche that compels us to look for a different worldview as a coping mechanism. Pre-
millennialism is psychologically appealing. Like other theologies, it offers an interpretive
framework for events around us. Pre-millennialism is especially adept at explaining the more
5
Gospel of John, 17:15-18.
6
Bruce, Steve. ‘Y2K, The Apocalypse, and Evangelical Christianity: The Role of Eschatological
Belief in Church Responses,’ Sociology of Religion, Summer 2001. Available on-line: http://findarticles.
com/p/articles/mi_m0SOR/is_2_62/ai_76759009/pg_3, retrieved 27 December 2007.
7
Collins, John. ‘Apocalypticism Explained: The Apocalyptic World View,’ Frontline, originally
broadcast on 22 November 1998, available on-line: http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/
apocalypse/explanation/doomindustry.html, retrieved 6 November 2007.
5
troubling aspects of our world. More importantly, pre-millennialism offers not only a hope, but
also a genuine expectancy that there may be a way to go to Heaven without dying.8
The determinism of millennialism is the quintessential linear thought pattern and coping
mechanism. One of the most dramatic effects of millennialism is the underlying theme that the
world is moving toward a definite end.9 The prevalent form of millennialism in America
functions as a type of deterministic fatalism. Much of the western world has come to accept that
this is simply the way things are and we are disinclined to view the world as cyclical.10 This
makes American thought fundamentally different from the thinking of much of the rest of the
world. Our thinking is affected by themes of inevitability and immediacy that results in a
compulsion to act. This feature of western thought affects both religious and secular
philosophies.11 Secular considerations notwithstanding, the single most important factor in
western apocalypticism are the Bible, specifically the books of Daniel and Revelation. In the
Bible and subsequent philosophical interpretations, we can trace the source of our linear,
teleological view of deterministic history.12
MILLENNIAL THEOLOGIES IN AMERICA
Millennialism, and especially dispensational pre-millennialism, derives in large part from
extraordinary literalism of even the most figurative passages of the Bible. In America, literalism
in biblical interpretation is most closely associated with fundamentalism. Theologically, it is best
to begin a discussion of American millennialism with a brief review of fundamentalism as the
8
North, Gary. ‘The Unannounced Reason Behind American Fundamentalism's Support for the
State of Israel,’ 19 July 2000. Available on-line: http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article1585.
htm, retrieved 29 December 2007.
9
Collins, John. ‘Apocalypticism Explained: The Apocalyptic World View,’ Frontline, originally
broadcast on 22 November 1998, available on-line: http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/
apocalypse/explanation/doomindustry.html, retrieved 6 November 2007.
10
Ibid.
11
Marxism is an example of this.
12
Collins, John. ‘Apocalypticism Explained: The Apocalyptic World View,’ Frontline, originally
broadcast on 22 November 1998, available on-line: http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/
apocalypse/explanation/doomindustry.html, retrieved 6 November 2007.
6
term applies to the contemporary American religious tradition. Fundamentalism is a frequently
misunderstood term in America.13 Although it has connections to each, fundamentalism is
distinct from evangelicalism, the charismatic14 movement or conservative Christianity in g
Fundamentalism is also poorly understood when we attempt to define it as a personality style, a
form of militancy, or a particular worldview.
eneral.
15
The central doctrine of fundamentalism is that the
Bible is inspired by God and is an infallible account of the words of God. There are, however,
two other important heritages associated with American fundamentalism: dispensational pre-
millennialism and the holiness or Pentecostal movement.16 Fundamentalism can be understood
through the inverse of the relationship by examining the late 19th-century American development
of pre-millennialism and the holiness-Pentecostal movement and how these have grown in
tandem with fundamentalism and one another.
In order to understand the impact on culture and policy, we must recognize the uniquely
American aspect of our prominent religious traditions. While influences from a general European
and North American spiritual renewal are evident,17 New England Puritanism, as shaped by the
13
Within the American context, the term has its beginnings in the 1880s at the Princeton
Theological Seminary. Archibald Hodge and Benjamin Warfield were noted for their defense of biblical
accuracy and authority in the face of modernist criticisms. After 1919 fundamentalism become an
organized movement when 6,000 people attended the World's Christian Fundamentals Association
conference in Philadelphia. Shortly thereafter, fundamentalist coalitions began to form within Baptist and
Presbyterian churches. It is important to note that while Presbyterians may be sympathetic to the doctrine of
biblical inerrancy, they generally do not concur with the doctrine of dispensational pre-millennialism.
14
Within a religious context, this term generally applies to individuals and groups that profess a
supernatural indwelling of the Holy Spirit, many times manifested in the form of supernatural spiritual
gifts, such as speaking in tongues.
15
Wuthnow, Robert. ‘The World of Fundamentalism,’ The Christian Century, April 22, 1992, pp.
426-429. Available on-line: http://www.religion-online.org/showarticle.asp?title=230, retrieved 28
December 2007.
16
Ibid. Pentecostals are well known for their public confession of sins, affirmation of belief in
Jesus, speaking in tongues and miraculous healing; they claim to experience a spiritual renewal, which they
attribute to a supernatural action of the Holy Spirit.
17
Kostlevy, William. ‘The Dispensationalists: Embarrassing Relatives or Prophets Without
Honor: Reflections on Mark Noll’s The Scandal of the Evangelical Mind,’ Wesley Center for Applied
Theology, Northwest Nazarene University, 2003. Available on-line: http://wesley.nnu.edu/Wesleyan
_theology/theojrnl/31-35/32-1-10c.htm, retrieved 29 December 2007.
7
First Great Awakening,18 is distinctly American. Although no longer known by that name, it
remains fundamentally opposed to Protestant orthodoxy. This tendency has left America with a
strong proclivity for experiential religion leading directly to the phenomenon of contemporary
evangelicalism. American evangelicalism emerged after World War II and did “much to unify
and revitalize conservative Protestantism.”19 While incorporating many of the same ideas,
evangelicalism generally had a moderating effect on American fundamentalism. In the 1970s, the
trend began to move the other way with fundamentalism exerting more influence in response to a
perceived decline in the moral condition of America.20 This influence is most pronounced within
non-denominational, Southern and independent Baptist and Pentecostal churches. The
phenomenon of pre-millennial ideas has successfully crossed denominational boundaries during
the last three decades, owing much to the success of publishing, broadcasting and other media
efforts designed to spread pre-millennialism.
An understanding of different philosophical and interpretive approaches to the Book of
Revelation is essential to an appreciation for millennial theologies, and especially dispensational
pre-millennialism. Philosophical approaches to the Book of Revelation center on two important
interpretive questions. The first concerns the historical referent or context in which one
understands the visions related in Revelation chapter 6:1 through chapter 18:24. The second
question concerns the way in which the thousand-year period of Revelation chapter 20 is
characterized. In America, millennial philosophies reside within a larger debate related to
interpretive methods for reading the New Testament book of Revelation.
With respect to the first question of historical context or referent, we can discern four
broad methods. These methods generally determine an outlook on the text from chapter 6:1
18
The Great Awakening was 1725-1760. Based on widespread optimism and expectation of future
triumphs in the cause of righteousness, post-millennalism was widely accepted and fit well with the Puritan
idea that the colonists were a chosen people.
8
through chapter 18:24 of the Book of Revelation, but have significant implications for millennial
thought. These different interpretive methods are commonly referred to as historicist, preterist,
spiritualist and futurist.
With respect to the second question, there are three broad methods within the idea of
millennialism. It is here that the influence of fundamentalism, with its unique literalism, becomes
important. Millennialism actually refers to any system of belief or interpretation that employs a
literal thousand years, or chiliad, in reading and applying Revelation 20:1-7:
“Then I saw an angel coming down from heaven, holding in his hand the key to
the bottomless pit and a great chain. And he seized the dragon, that ancient
serpent, who is the devil and Satan, and bound him for a thousand years, and
threw him into the pit, and shut it and sealed it over him, so that he might not
deceive the nations any longer, until the thousand years were ended. After that he
must be released for a little while. Then I saw thrones, and seated on them were
those to whom the authority to judge was committed. Also I saw the souls of
those who had been beheaded for the testimony of Jesus and for the word of God,
and those who had not worshiped the beast or its image and had not received its
mark on their foreheads or their hands. They came to life and reigned with Christ
for a thousand years. The rest of the dead did not come to life until the thousand
years were ended. This is the first resurrection. Blessed and holy is the one who
shares in the first resurrection! Over such the second death has no power, but
they will be priests of God and of Christ, and they will reign with him for a
thousand years.”
The word millennial or millennium is Latin in origin and therefore does not appear in
Scripture. The Greek word used in Revelation 20:1-7 is from "chilioi," which means "a
thousand." Historically, the concept we refer to as millennialism was originally known as
chiliasm and the associated period of time was referred to as the chiliad.
The historicist or historical method interprets the Book of Revelation as a “panoramic
outline of church history from the apostolic era to the Second Coming of Christ.”21 The historicist
19
Wuthnow, Robert. ‘The World of Fundamentalism,’ The Christian Century, April 22, 1992, pp.
426-429. Available on-line: http://www.religion-online.org/showarticle.asp?title=230, retrieved 28
December 2007.
20
Ibid.
21
Thomas Nelson Publishers. Nelson’s Complete Book of Bible Maps and Charts. Nashville,
Thomas Nelson, 1993, p. 486.
9
approach asserts that prophecy has been unfolding since shortly after Revelation was written and
continues to unfold now. This method renders Revelation as a “prewritten record of the course of
history”22 and was the traditional Protestant23 interpretation for many centuries. The historicist
method may be used with the post-millennial or amillennial philosophies.
The preterist24 method of interpretation places the events of the Book of Revelation 6:1
through 18:24 during the times of the Roman Empire, normally the late first and second centuries.
Preterists are divided on the fulfillment of the prophecies in the final chapters of Revelation.
Some believe they had their fulfillment in the past, while some believe that the final chapters
speak of yet future events.
The idealist, spiritual or symbolic approach25 interprets the Book of Revelation as
describing the general nature of the conflict between good and evil, but does not attempt to
correlate events or symbols within the book to any specific point in history. Within this
interpretative method, we may discern two distinct schools of thought. While most see the Book
of Revelation as providing insight to “transcendent spiritual realities,”26 some see fulfillment as
entirely spiritual. Most idealists, however, believe that the conflict between good and evil
manifests itself in the physical, temporal world as conflict between Christians and anti-Christian
world powers, eventually leading to vindication. They tend to see these interactions as recurrent
and do not see fulfillment in any single, specific historical events. Many borrow freely from the
preterist method and find a primary application in the Roman Empire while seeing a secondary,
spiritual application continuing to this day. Idealists typically subscribe to some form of
amillennialism, since a figurative rendering is consistent with this interpretive approach.
22
Gregg, Steve (ed.). Revelation Four Views: A Parallel Commentary. Nashville: Thomas Nelson
Publishers, 1997, 2.
23
As the leading Protestant interpretation, several versions of the historicist method have
specifically demonized Catholicism, especially after the Reformation.
24
From the Latin word for ‘past.’
25
The literature offers no clear consensus on a label for this interpretative approach.
26
Gregg, Steve (ed.). Revelation Four Views: A Parallel Commentary. Nashville: Thomas Nelson
Publishers, 1997, 3.
10
Finally, the futurist approach interprets the Book of Revelation as describing still yet
future events that will accompany the end of the world. The futurist interpretive method is
essential to pre-millennial philosophical systems and will be the focus of much of the discussion
that follows.
Turning now to the second question, there are essentially three major philosophies with
respect to millennialism that derive from Revelation 20:1-7. These are commonly referred to as
post-millennialism, pre-millennialism, and amillennialism. Millennialism is not unique to
Christianity. Most religions feature some future time when good will overcome evil and peace
will reign. Zoroastrianism27 featured a period of a thousand years of peace from evil. Zoroastrians
believe they first promulgated the concept of a singular, all-powerful god, and the coming of a
redeemer to save the world from the evil. The Apocrypha28 contains numerous references to a
time of universal peace, which would be ruled by the people of God.
Up to the close of the tenth century, many Christians could and quite likely did assume
that the 1,000 years was a literal measure of time between the first and second comings of Christ.
Since this coming was universally identified with the last judgment, the approach of the year
1000 was terrifying for many.29 When the year 1000 came and went without the return of Christ,
most concluded the number was intended figuratively or symbolically. The impetus of millennial
philosophies is found in the hope for a better world. Their view of Revelation was that Christ
would intervene, at the right moment, and bring about a change in world events. Elwell
emphasizes this aspect when he writes "... the essential apocalyptic message remained as the book
taught the living hope of the immediate direct intervention of God to reverse history and to
27
Zoroastrianism is the religion based on the teachings of Zoroaster, also known as Zarathustra.
The religion originated in Persia in the 5th century b.C. and had its greatest number of adherents then.
28
I am not attempting to present a list of apocryphal texts. I am using the term in its most general
sense to refer to religious or Jewish historical texts that are normally not included in the canon of Scripture
due to uncertain authenticity or questionable authorship.
29
Sarver, Mark. Dispensationalism: Part I - Millennial Views Prior to the Rise of
Dispensationalism, Grace On-line Library. Available on-line: http://www.graceonlinelibrary.org/
articles/full.asp?id=9|21|653, retrieved 29 December 2007.
11
overcome evil with good. Such an outlook brought great comfort to believers who suffered from
persecution by the forces of Imperial Rome. Expressed in a form that has been called historic
premillennialism, this hope seems to have been the prevailing eschatology during the first three
centuries of the Christian era, and is found in the works of Papias, Irenaeus, Justin Martyr,
Tertullian, Hippolytus, Methodius, Commodianus, and Lactanitus."30
Post-millennialism views the millennium as a type of golden age of the church, which is
sometime in the future. In post-millennialism, the millennium precedes the second coming of
Jesus Christ. Post-millennialism bases its theories on the method of biblical exegesis known as
covenant theology. Using this method, humanity's redemption is centered on the covenants God
made with various figures throughout the biblical narrative. For example, in the Garden of Eden,
man was given the covenant of work to tend the Garden; Adam after the Fall received one of
grace, Noah, Abraham, Moses David, and the New Covenant. In theory, all of these covenants are
one, as opposed to pre-millennial dispensationalism, which teaches two different Divine salvation
plans for Christians and Jews.
Today, post-millennialism is most powerful as part of an undefined Christian ideal,
especially in discussion of moral or social issues within the realm of domestic policy.31 This
particular philosophy can be seen in Dominion Theology and Reconstructionist movements. The
domestic policies of many pre-millennialists often reflect the ideas and urges that we would
recognize from the post-millennialist program of early America. Post-millennialism was very
popular in the first of American history. Religiously motivated public policy was common and
30
Elwell, Walter A. Ed., Evangelical Dictionary Of Theology, Grand Rapids, MI: Baker, 714.
Papias was the Bishop of Hierapolis in the early part of the second century. Irenaeus was the Bishop of
Lugdunum and Christian apologist in the late second and early third centuries. Justin Martyr Christian
apologist in the first half of the second century. Justin Martyr was a prolific writer and much of his writing
survives to this day. Quintus Septimius Florens Tertullianus, a Christian apologist in Carthage during the
late second and early third centuries. Hippolytus was a disciple of Irenaeus and prolific Christian apologist
in the late second and early third centuries. Methodius was the Archbishop of Great Moravia in the ninth
century who is best known for translating the Bible into Old Church Slavonic. Commodianus was an
obscure Christian poet in the third century. Lucius Caelius Firmianus Lactantius was a Christian apologist
in the late third and early fourth centuries.
12
often had as its goal a millennial society. Americans generally believed that things were getting
better. One example is the Industrial Revolution of the late eighteenth through the mid-nineteenth
centuries which led many to think in terms of the dawning of a new age. The replacement of post-
millennialism with pre-millennialism has not necessarily obviated the behaviors associated with
the civil religion of American Exceptionalism, which derived from post-millennialism.
Within the American tradition, one of the logical results of post-millennialism was the
impulse to establish utopian, millennial societies to create and preserve the millennial conditions
that would hasten the second coming of Jesus Christ. These efforts manifested themselves in a
variety of forms and on vastly different scales.32 The millennial society that is most familiar to
Americans is also the most overlooked: America itself. From its inception, the American
Republic was sincerely intended to be one nation, under God. The goals of the founding fathers
were straightforward where the formation of a ‘more perfect union’ was concerned. The primary
argument in the early days of the Republic for public funding of education was to enable every
citizen to read the Bible. Post-millennialism asserted itself repeatedly in the early days of our
nation’s history with concepts such as American Exceptionalism and Manifest Destiny. Post-
millennial America was characterized by optimism and a sense of confidence concerning what
America, as God’s chosen nation, could accomplish. The reality of the U.S. Civil War made
many of these ideas untenable and today few Americans have an optimistic worldview, so post-
millennialism appears confined to history for the time being.
Since World War I, the philosophy of dispensational pre-millennialism has steadily
gained acceptance and since the 1970s has come to dominate. The popularity of pre-
millennialism, and especially dispensational pre-millennialism is such that it is usually what is
meant when people use the word millennialism. Prominent pre-millennialist writers such as Hal
31
This is sometimes referred to as Neo-Reconstructionism or Dominion Theology.
32
One well-known example is the creation of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints by
Joseph Smith and the subsequent westward migration to Utah by Mormons led by his successors.
13
Lindsey, John Walvoord, Tim LaHaye, J. Dwight Pentecost, John Hagee and others assert that
their philosophy about the return of Christ has always been the doctrine of the historical church.
Walvoord makes the following statement regarding the historical nature of pre-millennialism:
"The testimony of history unites in one river of evidence that the theology of the Old and New
Testament and the theology of the early church was not only pre-millennial, but that its pre-
millennialism was practically undisputed except by heretics and skeptics until the time of
Augustine. The coming of Christ as the prelude for the establishment of a kingdom of
righteousness on earth in fulfillment of the Old Testament kingdom prophecies was the almost
uniform expectation both of the Jews at the time of the incarnation and of the early church. This
is essential pre-millennialism however it may differ in its details from its modern counterpart."33
Walvoord and others refer to statements made by Justin Martyr34 as proof that the early
church believed in a millennial reign of Christ upon the earth. "I, and others, who are right-
minded Christians on all points, are assured that there will be a resurrection of the dead, and a
thousand years in Jerusalem, which will then be built, adorned, and enlarged, as the prophets
Ezekiel and Isaiah and others declare. ... And, further, there was a certain man with us whose
name was John, one of the apostles of Christ, who prophesied, by a revelation that was made to
him, that those who believed in our Christ would dwell a thousand years in Jerusalem; and that
there after the general and, in short, the eternal resurrection and judgment of all men would
likewise take place."35 The first decided opponent of whom we have knowledge was Caius,36
about the year 200 A.D. The way in which chiliasm entered into the philosophy of Montanism37
created significant opposition to millenarian views. The Alexandrian school, particularly
33
Walvoord, John. The Millennial Kingdom, Zondervan, 1973, p. 113-114
34
Justin Martyr (100-165 A.D.) was a Christian author in the early second century.
35
Terry, M. a quote from Justin's Dialogue with Trypho, Biblical Hermeneutics, p. 484
36
Caius was a Christian author who lived around the beginning of the third century.
37
Montanism was a Christian sectarian movement named for its founder, Montanus. The
movement centered on Asia Minor and was in existence from the second to the eighth centuries.
Montanism is perhaps most well known for its belief in continuing revelation, which normally took the
form of ecstatic utterances. The most well known follower of Montanism was Tertullian.
14
Origen,38 opposed millennialism. Millennialism was still common, however, in the time of
Jerome, who himself was one of its opponents.
Augustine39 is noted for his opposition to millennialism (chiliasm). In his City of God,
Augustine argued strongly for a distinction between the city of God, which he identified as the
church, and the political cities of man. Augustine’s philosophy argued that the church was the
spiritual kingdom of God upon the earth, and that the church was presently in the millennium.
The bulk of scholarly work indicates that amillennialism has been the dominant view of the
church since its inception. According to Louis Berkhof, "Some premillennialists have spoken of
Amillennialism as a new view and as one of the most recent novelties, but this is certainly not in
accord with the testimony of history. The name is indeed new, but the view to which it is applied
is as old as Christianity. It had at least as many advocates as Chiliasm among the Church Fathers
of the second and third centuries, supposed to have been the heyday of Chiliasm. It has ever since
been the view most widely accepted, is the only view that is either expressed or implied in the
great historical Confessions of the Church, and has always been the prevalent view in Reformed
circles"40 Martin Luther taught amillennial eschatology as well.
The word amillennialism is essentially an acknowledgement of the importance of
millennial philosophies since it seeks to define the absence of millennialism with respect to the
millennium. The amillennial view is that the second coming of Jesus Christ will be the end of the
world.
From the time of Augustine, the prevailing view on the return of Christ was amillennial.
There were, at times of severe persecutions, those who would arise with a renewed interest in
millennialism. It was not until the nineteenth century that a more effective advocate for
millennialism would arise in John Darby.
38
Origen (c. 185-c.254) was an early Christian author.
39
Aurelius Augustinus, 354-430. Bishop of Hippo Regius in present-day Algeria. Well known for
his formulation of the concepts of original sin and just war.
15
A pre-millennial eschatology is the belief that when Christ returns to earth, he will
conquer Satan and establish a 1000-year reign on earth. Pre-millennialists see the world as getting
progressively worse, moving toward an apocalyptic end that signals the return of Christ. Social
events are interpreted through this viewpoint that is predisposed toward and anticipating God's
intervention in world events.41
John Darby42 is rightly considered the father of dispensational pre-millennialism. His
view on the Second Coming (or advent or parousia) of Jesus Christ is what most Americans have
in mind when they speak of pre-millennialism. Darby’s theology divided the scheme of God's
redemption into various dispensations, or periods of time,43 during which God tests man in
respect to his obedience to some specific revelation from God.
Darby's dispensational pre-millennialism defines the millennium as the future period of
human history during which Jesus Christ will reign personally and visibly with His followers on
40
Berkhof, Louis. Systematic Theology, Grand Rapids: Eerdmans, 1996, 708.
41
Bruce, Steve. ‘Y2K, The Apocalypse, and Evangelical Christianity: The Role of Eschatological
Belief in Church Responses,’ Sociology of Religion, Summer 2001, 3. Available on-line: http://findarticles.
com/p/articles/mi_m0SOR/is_2_62/ai_76759009/pg_3, retrieved 27 December 2007.
42
1800-1882, educated at Trinity College in Dublin, he was ordained an Anglican minister after
abandoning the practice of law. He became influential among the Plymouth Brethren. In the 1830s, he
developed ideas that the ‘kingdom’ prophesied in the Book of Isaiah referred to something other than the
Christian church. In 1832 at the Powerscourt Conference, he set forth his concept of a secret rapture
(catching up). Over the next several decades, he developed the doctrine known today as dispensational pre-
millennialism, which he effectively promulgated on numerous preaching tours in the United States
following the Civil War. At about the same time that Darby was developing the doctrine of dispensational
pre-millennialism, William Miller developed his own version of pre-millennialism. Miller believed that the
year 1844 was significant in Bible prophecy. In this year, Jesus Christ was to return and establish His
kingdom upon the earth. This year came and went, but Jesus had not returned as Miller had predicted.
Miller then abandoned this particular belief, but some of his followers persisted with renewed prophetic
visions. Today, this group is known as Seventh-Day Adventists.
43
These periods of time, or dispensations, are known in a number of ways, and have refined their
terminology over the last 150 years. After reviewing much of the leading literature, I compiled a taxonomy
of the most common terms. The First Dispensation is known as the Creation or Innocence Dispensation and
generally encompasses the state of paradise found at the creation of the world, includes the Fall, or crisis of
conscience, and ends with the Noahic Flood. The Second Dispensation is known as the Noahic Covenant
and is said to represent a period of time characterized by human government. The Third Dispensation is
known as the Abrahamic Covenant and is also known as the period of promise. The Fourth Dispensation is
known as the Israelite or Sinai Dispensation and is characterized by the Mosaic Law. The Fifth
Dispensation is known as the Pentecost, Church or Gentile Dispensation. The Sixth Dispensation is known
as the Spirit Dispensation and will feature the Great Tribulation. The Seventh Dispensation is known as the
Millenial Kingdom or simply as the Millennium and features the Great White Throne Judgment which will
16
and over the earth for a literal thousand years. Darby developed additional concepts with respect
to the millennium. He taught that a visible coming of Christ would precede it. This coming will
be in two stages, the rapture and the appearing, with a considerable interval of time between
them, in which important events will take place. Pre-millennialists base their theory of the rapture
on First Thessalonians 4:16-17:
“For the Lord himself will descend from heaven with a cry of command, with the
voice of an archangel, and with the sound of the trumpet of God. And the dead in
Christ will rise first. Then we who are alive, who are left, will be caught up
together with them in the clouds to meet the Lord in the air, and so we will
always be with the Lord.”44
Throughout most of church history, this passage was almost exclusively understood to refer to the
day of final judgment.45 In the middle 19th century, first in England, then in North America, it
began to be associated with the newly developing ideas of a pre-millennial rapture. According to
pre-millennialists, the rapture may take place at any moment, and will certainly precede a period
of time that Darby referred to as ‘the great tribulation.’ Darby correlates references in Scripture to
the "blessed hope" of the church with the rapture. Inherent in this philosophy is a definition of the
church as those, and those only, which are saved between Pentecost and the rapture. The church
age is a mystery period which Darby explained as a ‘parenthesis’ dispensation that he could not
locate within prophecy between the sixty-ninth and seventieth weeks of the prophetic time table
based on Daniel chapter nine. Between the rapture and the appearing, Darby placed the events of
the last week of the prophecy of Daniel chapter 9, Matthew chapter 24, and Revelation chapters
initiate the millennial reign. Darby believed that each dispensation had its own system of salvation, which
allowed future dispensations to possess a different scheme of redemption.
44
While this passage is the basis for ideas about the rapture, the word does not appear in this
passage or anywhere else in the Greek text or any English translation. The word is derived from the Latin
rapturo, which Jerome used in this passage to translate the Greek harpazo, which means to seize or catch
up. The Greek is most commonly translated into English as ‘caught up,’ as it is here in the English Standard
Version.
45
North, Gary. ‘The Unannounced Reason Behind American Fundamentalism's Support for the
State of Israel,’ 19 July 2000. Available on-line: http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article1585.
htm, retrieved 29 December 2007.
17
four through nineteen. After the rapture, a Jewish ‘remnant’ will take the place of the church as
God's instrument for the conversion of others remaining on the Earth.
Allis states that the "primary features of this movement were two in number. The one
related to the Church. It was the result of the profound dissatisfaction felt at that time by many
earnest Christians with the worldliness and temporal security of the Church of England and of
many of the dissenting communions in the British Isles. The other had to do with prophecy; it
represented a very marked emphasis on the coming of the Lord as a present hope and immediate
expectation."46 Clarence B. Bass points out that the system of dispensational pre-millennialism
revolves around its principle of interpretation. "The paradox of the system lies precisely at this
point: one cannot logically accept the chronology of dispensationalism without also accepting its
basic principle of interpretation - that God works under different principles with mankind in
different dispensations."47
The growth of dispensational pre-millennialism in the United States is an interesting
phenomenon. Most scholars point to the effective advocacy of two writers: W.E. Blackstone48
and Cyrus Scofield. Blackstone is the author of Jesus Is Coming, which was published in 1878
and served largely to communicate the concepts of Darby’s theology. As effective as
Blackstone’s work was, it was soon eclipsed by The Scofield Reference Bible, first published in
1909 and revised in 1917. A contemporary revision was published in 1967. Allis, referring to The
Scofield Reference Bible, says: "This is the Bible of Dispensationalists, and has probably done as
much to popularize the prophetic teachings of Darby and the Brethren as all other agencies put
46
Allis, Oswald T. Prophecy And The Church, The Presbyterian & Reformed Publishing Co., 9.
Oswald T. Allis, 1880-1973. Professor of Theology at Princeton Theological Seminary. Author of
Prophecy and the Church (1945) and God Spake By Moses (1951).
47
Bass, Clarence B. Backgrounds to Dispensationalism, Its Historical Genesis and Ecclesiastical
Implications, Eugene: Wipf and Stock, 2005, 19.
48
William E. Blackstone, 1841-1935. Blackston was a student of Dwight Lyman Moody and took
a special interest in writing and teaching about the pre-millennial return, rapture of the church, and the
restoration of Israelites to Palestine. In 1881, he published the influential Jesus is Coming.
18
together."49 Vlach simply refers to the Scofield Reference Bible as the “greatest influence in the
spread of dispensationalism.”50
In addition to the efforts of individual authors, dispensational pre-millennialism also
benefited from two other efforts of the late 19th century: the Bible Conference Movement and the
Bible Institute Movement. Beginning in the 1870s, dispensational pre-millennialists began to
spread their ideas through a number of large Bible Conferences throughout the U.S. Two
especially well known conferences were the Niagara Conferences, which ran from 1870 until the
early 20th century, and the American Bible and Prophetic Conferences, which ran from 1878 to
1914. During the same period of time, individual authors and Bible Conferences were reinforced
and abetted by the Bible Institute Movement. Notable examples of schools established during this
time include the Nyack Bible Institute founded in 1882, Boston Missionary Training School
founded in 1889, and Moody Bible Institute founded in 1886. The most well known of these
today is Moody Bible Institute with a large campus in Chicago undergraduate and graduate
programs and nationwide publishing and broadcasting subsidiaries. The current doctrinal
statement of Moody Bible Institute shows that the school’s purpose of teaching dispensational
pre-millennialism is just as strong and clear today as it was when first established.51
American dispensational pre-millennialists have shown themselves especially adept at
adapting the exigencies of contemporary geo-politics to bolster the appeal of their theology.
Without questioning the effectiveness of Blackstone and Scofield in writing or persuading, it
would be an oversimplification to think that their writings alone could have wrought such a
profound impact on American religion. Dispensational pre-millennialism owes at least as much to
49
Allis, Oswald T. Prophecy And The Church, Phillipsburg, NJ: The Presbyterian & Reformed
Publishing Co., 13-14.
50
Vlach, Michael J. ‘What Is Dispensationalism?,’ TheologicalStudies.org. Available on-line:
http://www.theologicalstudies.org/dispen.html, retrieved 30 December 2007.
51
Moody Bible Institute. Organizational web-site. Available on-line: www.moody.edu, retrieved
11 December 2007.
19
the U.S. Civil War, World War I and the Balfour Declaration as it does to Blackstone and
Scofield, neither of who would have sold many books without these events.
The U.S. Civil War shook the foundations of American post-millennialism, which had
been the dominant philosophy within American religion up until the War Between the States.
Before the Civil War, American civil religion centered on the Revolution, which was commonly
seen as the “final act of the Exodus from the old lands across the waters.”52 Adding to the
intensity of emotion evoked by the fratricidal nature of the conflict, the U.S. Civil War was one of
the bloodiest conflicts of the 19th Century by any measure. The Civil War convinced a significant
number of American Christians that their notions of a millennial state on the North American
continent were clearly misguided, or tragically failed at best. In the place of post-millennialistic
ideas of a developing utopian society, new ideas of death, sacrifice, and rebirth emerged from the
conflict.53 This created a philosophical void, which was immediately filled by Darby, Blackstone
and Scofield. The Scofield Reference Bible appeared genuinely prophetic to many when World
War I and the Balfour Declaration followed it so quickly.
Today, books promulgating dispensational pre-millennialism have grown exponentially.
Leading dispensational pre-millennialists such as Hal Lindsey, John F. Walvoord,54 Tim LaHaye,
Paul Lalonde, and John Hagee are mainstream best sellers. In their task, they have continued to
be abetted by world events such as the creation of the political state of Israel and its attendant
Middle East strife, the post-World War I rise of the Soviet Union and the post-World War II
emergence of China as an eastern power. The result is that the concepts of pre-millennialism have
grown into a common, normative frame of reference rooted in faith through which many
Americans interpret the world and especially events within the foreign policy arena.
52
Bellah, Robert N. ‘Civil Religion in America,’ Dædalus: Journal of the American Academy of
Arts and Sciences, Winter 1967, Vol. 96, No. 1, pp. 1-21. Available on-line: http://www.robertbellah.com/
articles_5.htm, retrieved 5 December 2007.
53
Ibid.
20
POST-MILLENNIALISM AND THE FOUNDING OF AMERICA
Dr. Leo Ribuffo of George Washington University suggests that the relationship between
religion in America and foreign relations exists on many levels.55 First, it is important to
understand how American religious beliefs contribute to American exceptionalism.
Exceptionalism is an important concept because it contributes to the idea that America has a
unique, divinely appointed purpose in the world. Both Presidents Carter and Reagan clearly
subscribed to exceptionalism and frequently echoed John Winthrop’s call to “build a city on a
hill.”56 Tensions between religiously oriented interest groups and religious issues in other
countries may influence U.S. foreign policy. It is important to examine the implications of
religious doctrines and the specific actions they seem to call for in terms of U.S. foreign policy.
Finally, foreign religious influences affect U.S. foreign policy directly and indirectly.
Prior to the founding of the U.S., English Puritans believed that England was to be a ‘new
Israel.’ They practiced a form of post-millennialism that caused them to be optimistic about
England’s role as a force for righteousness in the world. Following the collapse of Cromwell’s
revolution in 1658, most believers lost faith in their millennial theories with respect to England
and transferred their hopes to the colonies of New England. This new, American version of
Protestant millennialism was described in the 1740s as “the dawning, or at least the prelude, of
that glorious work of God.”57 Before the Revolution, Protestant theology made important
contributions to American culture. Notable among these are the ideas of covenant theology,
54
1910-2002. President of Dallas Theological Seminary from 1952 to 1986 and a prolific author
with more than 30 published works, the majority of which deal with dispensational pre-millennialism.
55
Ribuffo, Leo. Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex Relationship.
The National Interest, Summer, 1998.
56
Winthrop, John, "A Model of Christian Charity", in Conrad Cherry, God's New Israel: Religious
Interpretations of American Destiny (Englewood: Prentice Hall, 1971), pp. 39-43.
57
Jonathan Edwards (1703-1758), a noted Congregational preacher and theologian, quoted in
Judis, John B. ‘The Chosen Nation: The Influence of Religion on U.S. Foreign Policy,’ Policy Brief, 37,
March 2005, Washington, D.C.: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2.
21
original sin, the chosen people concept58 and millennialism in its various forms. Covenant
theology, in concert with the chosen people concept, provided the rationale and moral
justification for the American Revolution. The theological doctrine of original sin formed and
continues to influence our ideas about the size and role of government as well as the relationship
between society and the individual. Unlike these other theological components of American
culture, the effects of millennialism are neither consistent nor easily explained. The Great
Awakening was 1725-1760. Based on widespread optimism and expectation of future triumphs in
the cause of righteousness, post-millennalism was widely accepted and fit well with the Puritan
idea that the colonists were a chosen people. In this way, Protestant millennialism gave us the
themes and language of American civil religion and exceptionalism.
American millennialism responds to the exigencies of the times. In the case of pre-Civil
War America, the chosen people became the members of the churches who were one in the same
with the citizens of the new nation. During this period of national optimism, the millennium was
understood to be a sometimes literal, sometimes figurative one thousand-year reign of religious
and political liberty that would hasten the Second Coming of Christ. The enemy of the ‘chosen
people’ was seen in English rule, Catholicism, the native peoples, and other competitors for the
resources of the continent. The ideas and language of millennialism so thoroughly infused the
broader civil religion and political speech of the time that they are nearly indistinguishable from
one another. It is in this way that millennialism framed the specific foreign affairs and security
policies of the time and gave shape to American objectives.
The American Revolution served to further entrench the dominant millennial theory of
that day. The U.S. was founded on the basis of a post-millennial expectation that America would
58
Wald, Kenneth D. Religion and Politics in the United States. Washington, D.C.: Congressional
Quarterly, 1992, 45.
22
be “the fertile soil bed for the New Kingdom.”59 Following American independence, preachers
such as Timothy Dwight and David Tappan predicted America would have established by the
year 2000 a righteous kingdom prepared for Christ's millennial reign.60 In a manner similar to the
Israelite conquest of Canaan, the post-millennial beliefs of that day engendered broad consensus
that America should grow in power, acquire additional territory and become an important
economic force in the world. These beliefs were the direct result of post-millennial religious
beliefs, which held sway in the early days of the Republic. In 1783, Ezra Stiles said that the
example of the United States would spread the "empire of reason" and thus hasten the
establishment of God's kingdom on earth.61 In the first half of the 19th century, the impulse to
expand, by force when necessary, enjoyed broad support.62 Today, we refer to this widely
understood phenomenon as Manifest Destiny.63
Manifest Destiny coincided with the second Great Awakening.64 One important impact of
American religion on U.S. foreign policy was the impulse to engage in missionary activity
associated with the second Great Awakening. American Protestants sought to influence U.S.
governmental policy to facilitate missionary undertakings. Ribuffo’s analysis indicates that many
Protestant missionaries came to act in a way that would cause us to label them as lobbyists
today.65 Another important feature of this period of American history was the initial fracturing of
59
Bruce, Steve. ‘Y2K, The Apocalypse, and Evangelical Christianity: The Role of Eschatological
Belief in Church Responses,’ Sociology of Religion, Summer 2001. Available on-line: http://findarticles.
com/p/articles/mi_m0SOR/is_2_62/ai_76759009/pg_3, retrieved 27 December 2007.
60
Ibid. Dwight lived 1752-1817 and Tappan lived 1752-1803.
61
Quoted in Leo Ribuffo, Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex
Relationship. The National Interest, Summer, 1998
62
Quakers and Mennonites were notable for their dissent on the use of force under any
circumstances, least of all for the purpose of territorial acquisition.
63
John O’Sullivan coined the phrase Manifest Destiny near the end of this period, in 1945. The
American claim to Oregon was "by right of our manifest destiny to overspread and possess the whole of the
continent which Providence has given us for the great experiment of liberative and federative self-
government entrusted to us."
64
Seventh-Day Adventism and the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints both came into
existence during this time.
65
Ribuffo, Leo. Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex Relationship.
The National Interest, Summer, 1998. Missionary activities at this time were focused on Asia.
23
mainstream Protestant groups over the increasingly contentious issue of slavery. Methodists split
on the issue in 1844, followed by Baptists in 1845 and Presbyterians in 1857.
CIVIL WAR, WORLD WAR AND THE RISE OF PRE-
MILLENNIALISM
Mine eyes have seen the glory of the coming of the Lord:
He is trampling out the vintage where the grapes of wrath are stored;
He hath loosed the fateful lightning of His terrible swift sword:
His truth is marching on.
Glory, glory, hallelujah! Glory, glory, hallelujah!
Glory, glory, hallelujah!
His truth is marching on. The Battle Hymn of the Republic, 186266
Now prophesy all these words against them and say to them: The LORD will roar from
on high; he will thunder from his holy dwelling and roar mightily against his land. He will shout
like those who tread the grapes, shout against all who live on the earth. Jeremiah 25:30
The American Civil War was the turning point for eschatology in this country. Since the
founding of the Republic, the vast majority of Americans were post-millennialists of one type or
another. They generally viewed the United States as God’s chosen people with a special role in
the world. Their worldview was one of overall optimism in that they believed that things would
generally improve until they ushered in an age (for some literally one thousand years, for others a
figurative period of time) of Christian righteousness and peace followed by the Second Coming
of Jesus Christ. The Civil War falsified the American version of post-millennialism in the starkest
of terms. Americans killing each other in all-out war was clearly incompatible with the ideas of
post-millennialism. Throughout the War, southerners attempted to recast post-millennial theories
to fit the Confederacy, but this proved unworkable with the eventual defeat and Reconstruction.67
The Civil War contributed several features to the mosaic of American civil religion.
National cemeteries were created to cope with the large numbers of dead. The national holiday
66
Howe, Julia Ward. The Battle Hymn of the Republic, originally published in the Atlantic
Monthly, February 1862.
67
Phillips, Kevin. American Theocracy, New York: Penguin Books, 2006, 143.
24
known as Memorial Day was created. Even now, Memorial Day can involve entire communities
in “a rededication to the martyred dead, to the spirit of sacrifice, and to the American vision.”68
Thanksgiving was formally established as a national holiday during the Lincoln presidency.
While Thanksgiving integrates the family unit into civil religion, Memorial Day seeks to operate
on the community level.69 As immigration increased diversity, that diversity affected domestic
political pressures and their concomitant foreign policy issues. Immigration of Catholics and Jews
from Eastern and Southern Europe made the most significant changes to the American religious
landscape. Intellectual challenges from Darwinian evolution and biblical criticism began to bring
about changes that would solidify into liberal and fundamentalist divisions within American
Protestantism.70
U.S. foreign policy and strategy continued to show signs of religious influence during the
Progressive Era. President Roosevelt spoke regularly of ‘righteousness.’71 President Wilson was a
theologically liberal Presbyterian. Both were willing to use the military instrument overseas.
When the First World War began in 1914, both President Wilson and Secretary of State Bryan
were Presbyterians convinced that the United States had a special mission in the world. Their
different responses to the crisis of their day are illustrative of the different ways that American
religion influences U.S. foreign policy. Secretary of State Bryan believed that it was his Christian
duty to help bring about world peace. Bryan designed several treaties to try to avoid war. He
celebrated some of these treaties by melting swords, which he had fashioned into plowshares. In
1915, Secretary Bryan resigned because he believed that President Wilson was not truly
68
Bellah, Robert N. ‘Civil Religion in America,’ Dædalus: Journal of the American Academy of
Arts and Sciences, Winter 1967, Vol. 96, No. 1, pp. 1-21. Available on-line: http://www.robertbellah.com/
articles_5.htm, retrieved 5 December 2007.
69
Ibid.
70
In its extreme forms, theological liberalism came to emphasize Biblical ethics while accepting
evolution, denying original sin, and doubting biblical miracles. Some theological liberals developed a
liberal, social gospel. At this same time, Christian Scientists, several Pentecostal Protestant groups, and the
International Bible Students' Association (today known as the Jehovah's Witnesses) came into existence.
71
Ribuffo, Leo. Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex Relationship.
The National Interest, Summer, 1998.
25
committed to peace. After U.S. entry into the war, nationally recognized evangelist Billy Sunday
hailed American soldiers as "God's grenadiers."72 The interfaith League of National Unity
promoted America’s participation in World War I across denominational lines.73
It is important to note that World War I influenced American religion more than
American religion influenced the War. The war brought about important religious responses U.S.
religious responses such as Walter Rauschenbusch's social gospel and the beginning of a militant,
anti-modernist movement that would come to be known as Christian fundamentalism.74 Perhaps
the single most important change to American religion was the emergence among theological
conservatives of the doctrine known as pre-millennial dispensationalism.
The intent to establish a Jewish homeland in Palestine as expressed in the Balfour
Declaration and ratified by the League of Nations significantly energized pre-millennial thinking
and laid the foundation for an eventual religious co-optation of U.S. foreign policy. It is important
to note that the publication of The Scofield Bible, World War I and the Balfour Declaration can be
directly correlated with a significant rise in numbers and influence between two American
religious groups with significant roles in American political life today: the Southern Baptists and
the Assemblies of God. Between the two World Wars, Southern Baptists added 1.5 million
members and the Assemblies of God increased their numbers four-fold.75 The philosophy of
dispensational pre-millennialism and the attendant world events offer the best explanation for the
phenomenal growth of these two groups and laid the foundation for post-World War II revival
among evangelicals and the subsequent rise to political power in the 1980s.
72
Ribuffo, Leo. Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex Relationship.
The National Interest, Summer, 1998.
73
Ibid.
74
Brasher, Brenda. "Thoughts on the Status of the Cyborg: On Technological Socialization and Its
Link to the Religious Function of Popular Culture," Journal of the American Academy of Religion, Vol. 64,
Issue 4, 1996, pp. 809-830. Available on-line: http://www.religion-online.org/showarticle.asp?title=404,
retrieved 27 December 2007.
75
Phillips, Kevin. American Theocracy, New York: Penguin Books, 2006, 114-115.
26
ISRAEL, NUCLEAR WAR AND THE LAST DAYS
"Hear the word of the LORD, O nations, and declare it in the coastlands far away; say, 'He who
scattered Israel will gather him, and will keep him as a shepherd keeps his flock.' For the LORD
has ransomed Jacob and has redeemed him from hands too strong for him”...Thus says the
LORD: "Keep your voice from weeping, and your eyes from tears, for there is a reward for your
work, declares the LORD, and they shall come back from the land of the enemy. There is hope
for your future, declares the LORD, and your children shall come back to their own country.”
Jeremiah 35:10-17
World War II was important because it appeared to put into place the conditions and
potentialities that American pre-millennialists had been searching for: Israel, significant threats
from Russia and China, and, for the first time ever, a tangible, literal method by which humanity
could be destroyed by fire in the twinkling of an eye – nuclear weapons. The impacts on
American policy and culture were immediate with the end of isolationism and revival among
conservative Protestants.76 After World War II, isolationism was no longer considered viable and
the debate centered not on whether the United States should engage internationally, but rather
how the country should go about it.77 National religious revival renewed the impulse to carry out
mission work, especially overseas, which had significant implications for U.S. foreign policy.
The extent of the influence is easy to demonstrate by invoking the name of Billy Graham. No one
in America could ignore the importance of Graham’s ability to draw huge crowds, some
numbering 50,000, from coast to coast.78 The influence was important within government as
Christian realist Niebuhr became influential in the opening days of the Cold War and influenced
the thinking if George F. Kennan, the author of containment.79 President Eisenhower’s
denouncement of "Godless Communism" resonated strongly with the majority of Americans.80
76
Ribuffo, Leo. Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex Relationship.
The National Interest, Summer, 1998.
77
Internationalists ranged from publisher Henry Luce, the son of missionaries in China, who
envisioned an "American Century," to former Vice President Henry A. Wallace, a social gospel advocate
who promoted a "century of the common man."
78
Phillips, Kevin. American Theocracy, New York: Penguin Books, 2006, 115.
79
Ribuffo, Leo. Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex Relationship.
The National Interest, Summer, 1998.
80
Ibid.
27
In the minds of American dispensational pre-millennialists, the beginning of the Cold
War initiated the beginning of the prophesied ‘last days’ with two key developments: the creation
of the state of Israel in 1948 and the invention and the proliferation of nuclear weapons.81 Pre-
millennialists in America have come to agree that the establishment of the state of Israel fulfilled
their interpretation of chapter 24 in the Gospel of Matthew. This passage is significant for pre-
millennialists because they read it as a key to understanding the ‘end times’ that will hasten the
end of the world. The passage adjures followers to watch for signs, which would include wars,
rumors of wars, false Christs, and the renewal of the fig tree, which is a symbol of Israel. Most
pre-millennialists believe that based on this passage, some who were alive in 1948 will live to see
the Second Coming.82
The formal recognition by the United States of Israel in 1948 is an important study in the
influence of religion on United States policy-making. United States foreign policy toward Israel
and the second and third order effects of that policy can be difficult to explain or predict using
traditional political science models and methods. Dr. Ribuffo suggests that the recognition of
Israel is the result of “grassroots lobbying.”83 It is important to note that diplomatic and military
advisors recommended against recognition and oil companies lobbied hard against supporting
Israel with formal recognition.84 Some of President Truman’s decision may still be explained in
terms of rational policymaking.85 American Jews had some political power as a voting bloc and
the President probably wanted to minimize Soviet influence in Israel. Most importantly, however,
81
Leopold, Todd. Between God and a Hard Place, CNN.com, 16 November 2000. Available on-
line: http://archives.cnn.com/2000/books/news/11/16/end.of.days/index.html, retrieved 2 November 2007.
82
Bruce, Steve. ‘Y2K, The Apocalypse, and Evangelical Christianity: The Role of Eschatological
Belief in Church Responses,’ Sociology of Religion, Summer 2001, 4. Available on-line: http://findarticles.
com/p/articles/mi_m0SOR/is_2_62/ai_76759009/pg_3, retrieved 27 December 2007.
83
Ribuffo, Leo. Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex Relationship.
The National Interest, Summer, 1998.
84
Ibid.
85
Additional considerations include sympathy for Holocaust victims and nativist desires to
provide a destination other than the United States for Jewish refugees.
28
Zionists found themselves with Christian allies who believed that the "regathering" of Jews in the
Holy Land fulfilled dispensational pre-millennialist Bible prophecy.86
With a broad foundation built during post-World War II revival, the Christian right began
to form as a political force after Barry Goldwater’s failed bid for the Presidency in 1964. As a
backlash against secular liberalism, the Christian right found much to admire in the conservative
agenda of deregulation and smaller government.87 The movement gained momentum following
the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision, which evangelical conservatives and Catholics found particularly
troubling.88 Within four months of the Roe v. Wade decision the National Right to Life
Committee was formed. Other organizations such as Concerned Women for America, Focus on
the Family and the Eagle Forum quickly followed. Sustained by this momentum, the political
apparatus of the Christian right has grown so that “the connections among the boardrooms,
petroleum clubs, and conservative preachers are well established” in the southern and mountain
states.89 One prominent example is the work of Joseph Coors who worked during the 1970s and
1980s to found and fund Republican business-religious groups such as the Heritage Foundation
and Mountain States Legal Foundation. Coors worked closely with preacher and Left Behind
author Tim LaHaye to found the Council for National Policy. Coors also funded the Coalition on
Revival90, which works to unify Christian political action by attempting to bridge differences
between dispensational pre-millennialists and post-millenialists.91 The influence of these
organizations on the highest levels of government is easy to demonstrate: no fewer than four of
86
Ribuffo, Leo. Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex Relationship.
The National Interest, Summer, 1998.
87
Kaplan, Esther. With God on Their Side: How Christian Fundamentalists Trampled Science,
Policy, and Democracy in George W. Bush’s White House. New York: The New Press, 2004, 71.
88
Ibid, 131.
89
Phillips, Kevin. American Theocracy, New York: Penguin Books, 2006, 64.
90
Ibid, 65.
91
Many post-millennialists in America prefer to refer to themselves as Reconstructionists.
29
President Reagan’s cabinet secretaries held prominent positions in either Mountain States Legal
Foundation or the Council for National Policy before joining the Reagan administration.92
In 1976, the two major political parties nominated Gerald Ford and Jimmy Carter, both of
whom were known for their religiosity. Some have characterized the 1976 election as a backlash
against too little evidence of religious conformity at the highest levels of government. A well-
known theologian at the time, Albert Outler, argued that religious Americans "want a society
ruled by those who know what the Word of God is. The technical name for that is 'theocracy,' and
their Napoleon, whether he likes it or not, is Jimmy Carter."93 1976 marks an important point in
time where we begin to see remarkable consistency in terms of foreign policy across parties and
administrations. Like his predecessor, President Ford, President Carter sought to promote human
rights and mediate a Middle East peace. During the 1970s, significant numbers of Jews began to
shift to the right94 of the American political spectrum and critics of détente were often motivated
by concerns for Jewish emigration.95
The Christian right was widely recognized as a powerful political force in 1980 when
President Carter’s fellow southern evangelicals and other Christians abandoned him in favor of
Ronald Reagan.96 For many Christians, President Carter's diplomatic and military humility was
the wrong approach for solving problems around the world.97 Although not known for his own,
personal religious credentials, President Reagan clearly understood the role of the religious right
in his own rise to power. In his first substantive meeting with the Soviet ambassador, President
92
Phillips, Kevin. American Theocracy, New York: Penguin Books, 2006, 64.
93
Outler, Albert quoted in Gerson, Michael. A 2nd Home for Religious Voters?, Real Clear
Politics, 2 November 2007. Available on-line: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/ 2007/11/
democrats_and_religious_voters.html, retrieved on 2 November 2007.
94
President Carter received the smallest percentage of Jewish votes for any Democrat since the
1920s.
95
Ribuffo, Leo. Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex Relationship.
The National Interest, Summer, 1998. The Jackson-Vanik Amendment was designed to pressure the Soviet
Union into increasing Jewish emigration.
96
Kaplan, Esther. With God on Their Side: How Christian Fundamentalists Trampled Science,
Policy, and Democracy in George W. Bush’s White House. New York: The New Press, 2004, 71.
30
Reagan raised the issue of Russian Pentecostals living in asylum in the U.S. embassy in Moscow
and quickly secured permission for them to emigrate. In spite of nearly two decades of détente,
President Reagan resumed the practice of denouncing the Soviet Union as atheistic evil. The
1980s saw the trend of Protestant theological conservatives favoring hawkishness continue in way
that combined foreign policy, domestic policy and religious doctrine into an ever widening chasm
separating liberals and conservatives – and perhaps galvanizing and radicalizing both groups
along the way. While conservatives may have been more philosophically inclined to use military
more or act in interventionist ways, they did not set forth an agenda of suggested expeditions. It is
important to note that theologically conservative Protestants sided with Reagan primarily because
they concluded that Democrats would not pursue their agenda on issues as abortion,
homosexuality, and school prayer. Conservatives did not have an elaborate foreign policy agenda
with one important exception: a non-negotiable, theologically based commitment to Israel from
which all other foreign policy considerations devolved.
The Council for National Policy98 is an important example of religious influence on
policy making that operates independently of the larger American electorate. Founded in 1981 by
dispensational pre-millennialist Tim LaHaye, the Council for National Policy operates largely in
secret and serves to ally religious and corporate conservatives.99 Today, the Christian Coalition is
a mature, well-funded umbrella organization with hundreds of local and national membership
97
Ribuffo, Leo. Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex Relationship.
The National Interest, Summer, 1998.
98
According to its web site, the Council for National Policy is “an educational foundation
organized under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. We do not lobby Congress, support
candidates, or issue public policy statements on controversial issues. Our over 600 members include many
of our nation's leaders from the fields of government, business, the media, religion, and the professions.
Our members are united in their belief in a free enterprise system, a strong national defense, and support for
traditional western values. They meet to share the best information available on national and world
problems, know one another on a personal basis, and collaborate in achieving their shared goals.” Available
on-line: http://www.policycounsel.org/24508.html, retrieved 12 November 2007.
99
Kaplan, Esther. With God on Their Side: How Christian Fundamentalists Trampled Science,
Policy, and Democracy in George W. Bush’s White House. New York: The New Press, 2004, 74.
31
organizations.100 It features extensive radio and television efforts reaching audiences numbering
in the tens of millions, think tanks, political action committees and lobbies. The Christian right
has focused considerable effort on the Republican Party. In 2002, a survey found that in 44 states
Christian conservatives controlled 25% or more of the votes within the state Republican Party and
had outright control in 18 states.101 This has facilitated extraordinary access and control over the
national platform.
During the 1984 election, the shift in American politics became even clearer. The official
platform of the Democratic Party stated that abortion was a fundamental right.102 Walter
Mondale, the Democratic nominee, criticized the influence of religious conservatives in the
Republican Party. Throughout the Reagan and Bush administrations the times became closer and
easier to discern. President George Bush invited Billy Graham to spend the night at the White
House on the eve of the Gulf War in 1991.103 President Bush's ubiquitous invocations of God
prompted some Muslims to complain that he was leading a religious war against Islam itself,
rather than a limited effort to roll back the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait.104
This clear alignment has held true in recent elections where more than 66% of religious
conservatives voted for President Bush and about 75% of self-identified secular Americans
supported Democratic candidates.105 In assessing the 2004 Presidential elections, political analyst
Bill Moyers attributed President Bush’s victory to “many who have made the apocalypse a
powerful driving force in modern American politics...the invasion of Iraq was for them a warm-
100
Ibid, 72-73.
101
Ibid, 73.
102
Gerson, Michael. A 2nd Home for Religious Voters?, Real Clear Politics, 2 November 2007.
Available on-line: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/11/democrats_and_religious_voters.
html, retrieved on 2 November 2007.
103
Ribuffo, Leo. Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Story of a Complex Relationship.
The National Interest, Summer, 1998.
104
Ibid.
105
Gerson, Michael. A 2nd Home for Religious Voters?, Real Clear Politics, 2 November 2007.
Available on-line: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/11/democrats_and_religious_voters.
html, retrieved on 2 November 2007.
32
up act, predicted in the Book of Revelation...war with Islam in the Middle East is not something
to be feared but welcomed – an essential conflagration on the road to redemption.”106
CONTEMPORARY PRE-MILLENNIALISM IN THE AMERICAN
ELECTORATE
"This Republican Party of Lincoln has become a party of theocracy." – U.S. Representative
Christopher Shays (R-CT), 23 March 2005107
In any effort to use religious factors to analyze American foreign policy, numerous
considerations serve to confuse and diminish the effectiveness of any proposal. Protestant
majorities notwithstanding, there are significant Catholic and Jewish blocs. Protestantism itself
resists coherent analysis with its innumerable and sometimes incomprehensible divisions. It is
increasingly clear that Americans are capable of perceiving a number of different policy positions
within the Bible and theories of interpretation continue to multiply exponentially in an
increasingly complex religious landscape. This plurality of religious views notwithstanding,
Gerson has correctly surmised, “America is moving toward the development of one secular party
and one religious party...a danger to democracy. This trend turns nearly every political
disagreement into a culture-war conflict. When the sides view each other as infidels or ayatollahs,
it adds jet fuel to the normal combustion of American politics.”108
Most importantly, policy is also the result of secular concerns such as economic
advantage and survival of the state. The impact of religion is best understood as operating in two
distinct ways. First, religion provides a worldview and a cultural resource, which we draw upon
to explain events around us and shape preferences of which we may or may not be aware. J.R.
106
Moyers, Bill quoted in Phillips, Kevin. American Theocracy, New York: Penguin Books, 2006,
68.
107
Shays, Christopher quoted in Adam Nagourney. ‘G.O.P. Right Is Splintered on Schiavo
Intervention,’ New York Times, 23 March 2005. Available on-line: http://www.theocracywatch.org/
terri_conservatives_ times_mar23_05.htm, retrieved on: 19 January 2008.
33
Dunn asserts that “religious belief is hard-wired into human beings, by what means and for what
purposes we don't yet understand.”109 Secondly, we do consciously pursue a religious agenda, but
only after we have addressed the traditional strategic, economic, and political considerations of
statecraft. Murchison would argue against my analysis here by stating the “ultimate nature of
religious concerns -- heaven, hell, death, judgment -- makes them easily eclipse managerial
questions like budgetary "earmarks" and deficits in health insurance coverage.”110
In understanding the actual and potential impact of religion on politics, some effort
should be made to understand where the electorate stands. America has a degree of religious
pluralism that is unrivaled in the world. There are so many denominations that no single group
comprises more than 40% of total adherents.111 Phillips uses a wide variety of polls and surveys
over time to conclude that about 25% of Americans are affiliated with either a fundamentalist,
evangelical, holiness or Pentecostal Protestant church.112 The two largest denominations in
America, the Southern Baptists and the Assemblies of God, are in this group. This 25% of
American adults are the bedrock of dispensational pre-millennialism in America. Phillips analysis
suggests that about 15% of Americans are associated with one of the older Protestant
denominations that would be considered mainstream Protestants.113 While these groups do not
necessarily espouse dispensational pre-millennialism in any formal sense, analysis suggests that
some of their members are amenable to the ideas of pre-millennialism.
108
Gerson, Michael. A 2nd Home for Religious Voters?, Real Clear Politics, 2 November 2007.
Available on-line: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/11/democrats_and_religious_voters.
html, retrieved on 2 November 2007.
109
Dunn, J.R. A Necessary Apocalypse, Real Clear Politics, 2 February 2007. Available on-line:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/02/a_necessary_apocalypse.html, retrieved on 2 November
2007.
110
Murchison, William. Fall of the Religious Right?, Real Clear Politics, 30 October 2007.
Available on-line: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/10/fall_of_the_religious_right.html,
retrieved 2 November 2007.
111
Wald, Kenneth D. Religion and Politics in the United States. Washington, D.C.: Congressional
Quarterly, 1992, 19.
112
Phillips, Kevin. American Theocracy, New York: Penguin Books, 2006, 119.
113
Ibid, 119.
34
Based on conservative demographics, Phillips convincingly shows that the trend over
time is that more than 40% of Americans recognize and draw upon some form of apocalypticism
in their interpretation of world events and their subsequent exercise of individual and group
political influence.114 Not surprisingly, the influence of apocalypticism is most significant when
considering issues such as the Middle East, Israel, oil production stability, natural disasters, and
epidemics such as HIV/AIDS.115 This is the best explanation for the results of surveys showing
that between 33% and 40% of Americans interpret world events in accordance with the
philosophy of dispensational pre-millennialism.
Phillips use of demographics is highly credible and enlightening, but may underestimate
the influence of apocalypticism on Americans and their policy making. Phillips, in the interest of
accuracy, employed the lowest range of numbers and probably undercounted to some degree, but
this is a minor point. His data reveals important dynamics at work. The polling data on
apocalypticism can only reconcile to demographic data if all mainstream Protestants (15 per cent
of American adults) are included with the fundamentalist-evangelical-Pentecostal category (25
per cent of American adults), which is almost certainly not the case based on their stated beliefs
and voting patterns. Additionally, hints of apocalyptic thinking are shown in higher numbers by
polls with less specific questions. For example, a poll conducted by Princeton Research
Associates for the Pew Research Center showed that 44 per cent of Americans believe Jesus
Christ will likely return to Earth within the next 50 years.116 Additionally, these numbers
undervalue the effect of religion on conservative politics in some important ways: at least one
million Mormon voters, one million Jehovah’s Witness voters, and one million Christian
Restoration voters are not counted and the numbers under-represent Pentecostals by perhaps as
114
Ibid, 88.
115
Ibid, 68.
116
Nettleton, Steve. Apostles of the Apocalypse: Are We Ready for the End?, CNN.com, 24
December 1999. Available on-line: http://www.cnn.com/SPECIALS/1999/at2000/stories/religion/,
retrieved on 2 November 2007.
35
many as ten million adults. While these groups, less the under-counted Pentecostals, are not
motivated by apocalypticism, their votes and broad consensus on other issues add to the
impression of a coherent religious right mandate. In the end, Phillips himself concluded that the
best way to describe the role of religion in American politics and war was as “widely
underestimated.”117
The best way to reconcile the empirical demographics with the polling data is by
acknowledging millennialism as a powerful cultural resource and American worldview. As a
cultural resource and worldview, the philosophy may exist only at the conceptual level, devoid of
the elaborate details associated with full-fledged dispensational pre-millennialism. Of the almost
half of American adults potentially operating through this paradigm, more than half come from
the fundamentalist-evangelical-Pentecostal category and employ dispensational pre-millennialism
in a conscious and deliberate way. Less than half of the group, or about one in five Americans,
while influenced by an apocalyptic worldview, probably does not employ it in a conscious or
deliberate fashion and likely lacks the specialized vocabulary associated with dispensational pre-
millennialism. This is significant because even those who consider themselves non-religious or
religious, but decidedly non-millennialist, may not be free of these influences in their thinking.
The ideas of dispensational pre-millennialism have crossed the boundaries to varying
degrees of most major Protestant denominations.118 Many Americans are influenced by the
philosophy of dispensational pre-millennialism and have developed an apocalyptic worldview
without being consciously aware of it.119 The polling data and demographics suggest that the
range varies over time and is best explained by the intensity of world events and perceived danger
felt by Americans. Americans are vulnerable to apocalyptic interpretations of world events
117
Phillips, Kevin. American Theocracy, New York: Penguin Books, 2006, 121.
118
Sarver, Mark. Dispensationalism: Part I - Millennial Views Prior to the Rise of
Dispensationalism, Grace On-line Library. Available on-line: http://www.graceonlinelibrary.org/articles/
full.asp?id=9|21|653, retrieved 29 December 2007.
36
emanating throughout American culture and media. By adopting the geopolitical vision of
dispensational pre-millennialism Americans have developed a shared framework through which
they interpret and understand world events, which enhances knowledge retention and overall
interest in certain world events with pre-millennial relevance.120 Prior to 9/11, but a month before
the year 2000 arrived, a Princeton Research Associates poll conducted for Newsweek found 40
per cent of Americans believed the world would end with the battle of Armageddon as described
in the Book of Revelation.121 It is in this sense that pre-millennialism functions as an underlying
cultural resource even for Americans who do not formally embrace the particular theology or
belong to one of the groups identified with pre-millennialism. In other words, I would suggest
that in times of intense crisis we should expect to see 40 to 45 per cent of American adults
interpret world events apocalyptically while the steady state number will hover around 33 per
cent in times of relative peace.
It is next important to understand the extent to which religious beliefs transfer to or
manifest in the form of political action. Religious affiliation and involvement often indicates a
high level of “community attachment that translates into concern for public affairs.”122 The
complexity of the American political system provides numerous avenues of action and levels of
government to act upon. These include legislative, administrative and judicial actions at the local,
state and federal levels. Perhaps the most important point is that more Americans belong to
119
Nettleton, Steve. Apostles of the Apocalypse: Are We Ready for the End?, CNN.com, 24
December 1999. Available on-line: http://www.cnn.com/SPECIALS/1999/at2000/stories/religion/,
retrieved on 2 November 2007.
120
Dittmer, Jason. ‘Of Gog and Magog: The Geopolitical Visions of Jack Chick and
Premillennial Dispensationalism,’ ACME: An International E-Journal for Critical Geographies, 6(2), 297,
Statesboro, Georgia: Georgia Southern University, 2007. Available on-line: http://www.acme-
journal.org/vol6/ JDi.pdf, retrieved on 10 December 2007.
121
Nettleton, Steve. Apostles of the Apocalypse: Are We Ready for the End?, CNN.com, 24
December 1999. Available on-line: http://www.cnn.com/SPECIALS/1999/at2000/stories/religion/,
retrieved on 2 November 2007.
122
Wald, Kenneth D. Religion and Politics in the United States. Washington, D.C.: Congressional
Quarterly, 1992, 36.
37
religious organizations than to any other voluntary organization, therefore politicians will always
be ready to listen.
CONTEMPORARY PRE-MILLENNIALISM AND AMERICAN
CULTURE
“I don’t think it surprises me. I think Hollywood ought to reflect a mixture of the culture and
that’s certainly a huge element of American culture.” Tom Selleck, commenting on the success of
a feature film dealing entirely with Bible prophecy at the world premiere of Left Behind at the
Director’s Guild of America in Los Angeles, California, February 2, 2001.123
The influence of millennialism in America may be demonstrated in a number of ways.
According to Boyer, “what we see in contemporary American mass culture really is that
apocalyptic belief has become big business...a kind of synergistic process where a successful
televangelist will publish a book which is successful, which will then spin off into videotapes and
movies and sometimes prophecy magazines, and even we have bumper stickers and wristwatches
and other kinds of material, all of which reinforce popular belief and interest in Bible
prophecy.”124 The books, articles, television shows, radio programs and movies centered on pre-
millennialism are too numerous by far to catalogue or discuss here. There are, however, some
works that are notable for the extraordinary impact on American culture and policy.
Dispensational pre-millennialism has spread quickly throughout the U.S. during the last
100 years, greatly aided by the 1909 Scofield Reference Bible and its subsequent editions. In the
U.S. today, dispensational pre-millennialism is taught at the Moody Bible Institute in Chicago,
Dallas Theological Seminary, and more than 200 other lesser-known Bible institutes. It is
regularly promoted by television evangelists such as Jerry Falwell, Pat Robertson, John Hagee,
and Jack Van Impe.
123
Selleck, Tom quoted in Cloud Ten Pictures’ Left Behind, special features section of the digital
video disc directed by Vic Sarin, 2001.
124
Boyer, Paul. ‘Apocalypticism Explained: America’s Doom Industry,’ Frontline, originally
broadcast on 22 November 1998, available on-line: http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/
apocalypse/explanation/doomindustry.html, retrieved 6 November 2007.
38
The influence of Hal Lindsey’s 1970 Late, Great Planet Earth cannot be overstated. It
was the top-selling non-fiction work in the U.S. for the entire decade of the 1970s.125 Lindsey’s
book was theologically identical to Darby’s dispensational pre-millennialism. Lindsey drew upon
contemporary geo-politics and assigned literal correlations within the Book of Revelation for the
Cold War, nuclear weapons, rivalry with China, and, most importantly, the establishment of the
state of Israel and that country’s recent capture of Jerusalem in the Six Days War. The first three
chapters explain Lindsey’s ideas on Bible prophecy and chapter three is devoted to our need to
take immediate action in light of Lindsey’s predictions. Chapter explains how Israel, under the
system of dispensational pre-millennialism, continues today as God’s ‘chosen people’ the defense
of which is of paramount importance. Chapter five is titled ‘Russia is a Gog’ and identifies Russia
as the principle antagonist in the Battle of Armageddon. Chapter six discusses the threat from
various Middle Eastern states and Iran, while chapter seven is devoted to the threat posed by
China. Chapters eight, nine and ten set forth Lindsey’s assertion that the Anti-Christ is coming to
power in the form of the Trilateral Commission, now the European Union.
Lindsey was instrumental in moving dispensational pre-millennialism beyond the 25 per
cent of the American population in the fundamental-evangelical-Pentecostal demographic and
into the mainstream consciousness. Perhaps more importantly, Lindsey’s broader popular appeal
quickly translated into access and influence at the highest levels of the U.S. government. During
the 1970s, he lectured at the Pentagon and the National War College. During the Reagan
administration, he was a consultant to both the Departments of State and Defense.
In 1996, a leading dispensational pre-millennialist, Tim LaHaye, launched a series of
books known collectively as the "Left Behind" series. The series has sold more than 50 million
copies and in the last decade has only been outperformed by the Harry Potter books. While
technically a work of fiction, many Americans consider the books an important guide to
125
Ibid.
39
understanding world events. The story is at times more like LaHaye’s commentary on the Book of
Revelation: it begins with the Rapture, has a great deal of geo-political analysis of the Anti-
Christ (which LaHaye clearly associates with the European Union and the United Nations), and
features the Battle of Armageddon prominently.
It is important to remember that Tim LaHaye is much more than an amazingly successful
fiction author. LaHaye co-founded the Council for National Policy and since the early 1980s has
been a close confidante and advisor to conservative Presidents and policy makers. When Jack
Kemp ran for president in 1988, LaHaye initially served as his campaign chair.
Lindsey’s The Late, Great Planet Earth and LaHaye’s Left Behind series are hardly the
only examples of cultural manifestations of apocalypticism. As with straightforward religious
commentators such as Lindsey and LaHaye, nuclear war is most often associated with apocalypse
in culture. Prominent examples include The Day After and On the Beach. Dispensational pre-
millennialism offers much more than just nuclear war, however, and these other considerations
have made their mark on American culture as well. The Seventh Sign starring Demi Moore
attempted the most literal reading of the symbols in Revelation that is probably possible. Stephen
King replaced nuclear war with biological warfare in The Stand. The blockbuster movie titled
Armageddon starring Bruce Willis and the very similar Deep Impact starring Morgan Freeman
both featured cataclysmic meteors. Another product of apocalypticism in American culture is the
idea of extraterrestrial intervention and threats such as those portrayed in Steven Spielberg’s
Close Encounters of the Third Kind and Independence Day.
Dr. John C. Hagee is the founder and leader of Cornerstone Church in San Antonio,
Texas, a non-denominational evangelical church with more than 18,000 active members. Dr.
Hagee also heads John Hagee Ministries, which telecasts his radio and television programs on
40
160 television stations, 50 radio stations, and eight networks in the United States.126 His media
presence is only one indicator of Hagee’s influence. He has hosted events attended by notable
persons such as Senators Lieberman and McCain and opened with personal letters of greeting
from President Bush. Hagee points to Genesis 12:3 as “God’s foreign policy statement”:127 “I will
bless those who bless you, and him who dishonors you I will curse.”128 Hagee sees this as an
inviolable requirement to “protect and defend Israel at all costs.”129 There are three prominent
policy implications that appear throughout Hagee’s media messages. First, Iran is an immediate
threat. Second, there must be “one Jerusalem.”130 Third, war is part of God’s plan.
Lindsey, LaHaye and Hagee are representative of the vast cultural and governmental
influences of pre-millennialism. In his book, Israel's Final Holocaust, Jack Van Impe, founder of
one of the world's largest evangelical Christian ministries devoted to prophecy, applies an almost
literal view of Revelation to a modern context. "Following the defeat of Russia and her armies by
Israel, the final world dictator, the Antichrist, will be revealed for who he is -- a ruthless,
satanically controlled, evil person," Van Impe writes. "The length of his reign after the Israeli
defeat of Russia will be three and one-half (forty-two months; see Rev. 13:5) and during that time
he will bring the world to its most violent hour."131 James Dobson is the founder and chairman of
Focus on the Family which is a Christian media powerhouse. Tony Perkins heads the
Washington, D.C. Family Research Council, which is closely linked to Focus on the Family. The
pre-millennialist camp includes well known political operatives like former presidential candidate
126
John Hagee Ministries. Pastor Hagee. Retrieved from http://www.jhm.org/pastor.asp on 4
September 2007. Hagee’s show is weekly. In addition to the United States, it is seen Canada, Africa,
Europe, Australia, New Zealand and several Third World nations. Hagee is a prolific author with ten major
published works and several best-sellers.
127
Hagee, John. Quoted in Cable News Network’s God’s Christian Warriors. Television
broadcast on 23 August 2007.
128
The Holy Bible, Genesis 12:3, English Standard Version. Crossway Publishers, 2001.
129
Hagee, John. Quoted in Cable News Network’s God’s Christian Warriors. Television
broadcast on 23 August 2007.
130
Ibid.
41
Gary Bauer and Ralph Reed, the “brash Evangelical who transformed the Christian Coalition into
a populist power center, then helped usher Republicans into control of Congress and George W.
Bush into the presidency.”132 Were it not for the Abramoff scandal, Reed would likely be the
governor of Georgia preparing for his own presidential run in 2012. Reed is more adept at policy
than theology, but his Assembly of God credentials place him squarely in the dispensational pre-
millennialist camp.
While the psychological make-up of the American population is significant for its impact,
it pales in comparison to the importance of the thinking of senior leaders and policy makers.
While the fundamentalist-evangelical-Pentecostal group is about one-quarter of the population at
large, their representation at the senior levels of the United States government is domineering. For
example, in 1996, the President, Vice-President, Senate President pro tem, and Speaker of the
House were all Southern Baptists.133 Senator James Inhofe, a Republican from Oklahoma, stated,
“I don’t believe there is a single issue we deal with in government that hasn’t been dealt with in
the Scriptures.”134 Senator Inhofe is widely known to be a devout believer in dispensational pre-
millennialism. While serving as House Majority leader, Representative Tom DeLay, a Republican
from Texas, kept a poster on the wall of office that read “This could be the day” in reference to
the Rapture and initiation of the Great Tribulation and Armageddon.135
Other sources of governmental and policy influence are important as well. In the late
1970s and early 1980s the religious right established numerous groups to aid in the advancement
of their agenda. Prominent among these were Jerry Falwell’s Moral Majority founded in 1979
131
Van Impe, Jack quoted in Nettleton, Steve. Apostles of the Apocalypse: Are We Ready for the
End?, CNN.com, 24 December 1999. Available on-line: http://www.cnn.com/SPECIALS/1999/at2000/
stories/ religion/, retrieved on 2 November 2007.
132
Carney, James. The Rise and Fall of Ralph Reed, Time, 23 July 2006, available on-line:
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1218060,00.html, retrieved 9 November 2007.
133
President Clinton, Vice-President Gore, Senator Thurmond and Speaker Gingrich.
134
Inhofe, James quoted in Phillips, Kevin. American Theocracy, New York: Penguin Books,
2006, 96.
135
Phillips, Kevin. American Theocracy, New York: Penguin Books, 2006, 96.
42
and Tim LaHaye’s Council for National Policy founded in 1981. The Moral Majority has since
been improved upon by the Christian Coalition.
Dispensational pre-millennialism and its attendant apocalyptic worldview will have
numerous foreign policy and security implications for the United States in years to come. In
general, collective anxiety over things like world-ending war, the Anti-Christ, and the need to
secure our eternal destiny by our own hand will add to strategic hubris, justify increasingly
reckless international action, and continue to over-commit the military in ways the Nation cannot
afford. The issue is made immeasurably more difficult because we cannot seem to discuss the role
of apocalypticism in foreign policy publicly. Instead, we have developed a type of civic religion
where Presidents and other policy makers use thinly coded phrases to “heighten biblical
resonance”136 for that portion of the population that requires it. To everyone else, the remarks
seem an appropriate and normal part of how the United States government communicates. One of
the challenges for any administration is how to send “these private or sub-rosa” signals to
millennially-minded Christians without appearing overtly bigoted or intolerant.137 The
inevitability of millennial peace through redemptive violence and an exceptional role for America
have been and continue to be powerful themes running throughout the security and foreign
policies of the U.S.138 Official U.S. government policy expresses these themes in a number of
ways from the National seal that reads Novus Ordo Seclorum – the New Order for the Ages – or
the nuclear intercontinental ballistic missile known as the Peacekeeper.
136
Ibid, 239.
137
Kaplan, Esther. With God on Their Side: How Christian Fundamentalists Trampled Science,
Policy, and Democracy in George W. Bush’s White House. New York: The New Press, 2004, 79.
138
Dittmer, Jason. ‘Of Gog and Magog: The Geopolitical Visions of Jack Chick and
Premillennial Dispensationalism,’ ACME: An International E-Journal for Critical Geographies, 6(2), pp.
278-303, Statesboro, Georgia: Georgia Southern University, 2007, 296-297.
43
THE HOLY LAND AND ARMAGEDDON: U.S. POLICY IN THE
MIDDLE EAST
“It is apparent, in light of the rebirth of the state of Israel, that the present-day events in the Holy
Land may very well serve as a prelude or forerunner to the future Battle of Armageddon and the
glorious return of Jesus Christ.” – Jerry Falwell, 22 July 2006139
Since the 1970s, American foreign policy in the Middle East has centered on two
principal areas of concern: the stability of oil-producing states and the Arab-Israeli conflict.140
Using the 1979 Iranian revolution as a paradigmatic lens, American policy makers tend to see
Islamic opposition as the main threat to success.141 At the heart of U.S. government foreign
policy is the singular fact that pre-millennial dispensationalists see support of Israel as being
equivalent to supporting God. This steadfast support is “baffling for Jews, annoying to A
unavoidable for American Congressmen.”
rabs, and
142
It would be difficult to explain American security
policy in the Middle East without a religious analysis such as suggested herein. When exploring
the pro-Israeli lobby, many would look to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, or
AIPAC, but the truth is that evangelical Christian support is significantly larger and more
influential.143 According to former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, when dealing with
foreign policy in the Middle East “religious convictions transcend any consideration of
fairness.”144 Fields suggests that action premised on Bible prophecy imparts the best explanatory
power to American foreign policy when she states “if we could bind together all the rhetoric over
the Middle East, it would fit neatly into the Old Testament's Book of Jeremiah. Beware, beware,
139
Falwell, Jerry. ‘On the Threshold of Armageddon?’ World NetDaily.com, 22 July 2006.
Available on-line: http://worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=51180, retrieved 4 January
2008.
140
Gerges, Fawaz A. America and Political Islam. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1999,
12.
141
Ibid, 12.
142
North, Gary. ‘The Unannounced Reason Behind American Fundamentalism's Support for the
State of Israel,’ 19 July 2000. Available on-line: http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article1585.
htm, retrieved 29 December 2007.
143
Kaplan, Esther. With God on Their Side: How Christian Fundamentalists Trampled Science,
Policy, and Democracy in George W. Bush’s White House. New York: The New Press, 2004, 24.
144
Albright, Madeleine. The Mighty and the Almighty. New York: Harper Collins, 2006, 135.
44
beware.”145 Using this analogy, Fields compares influential, mainstream leaders such as Newt
Gingrich to the prophet Jeremiah with his contemporary warnings that Israel is threatened by
nuclear holocaust and his assertions that this is a direct threat to the U.S.146 Knowing that pre-
millennialists are an important source of political power in the U.S., the Israeli government has
begun to refer to the West Bank with Biblical terms such as Judea and Samaria.147 For many
American Christians, any policy that calls for Israel to return any land is dangerous for Israel and
contrary to the Bible.148
Two motivations for support of Israel derive directly from pre-millennialism. First, pre-
millennialists equate the contemporary political state of Israel with the Israel of the Old
Testament and hold them to be God’s chosen people resulting in an obligation to aid them in any
way possible. Second, if Israel were removed before the rapture, then the pre-millennialists’
theory of imminent escape from death would be falsified.149 Pre-millennialists would certainly
adapt their theology to provide for an indefinite delay of some sort, but the sway of pre-
millennialism over the present generation would be significantly diminished.
It is impossible to explain the policy positions surrounding the Temple Mount in
Jerusalem without an understanding of the religious influences, and, more importantly, the
apocalyptic import of the site at the crossroads of three religions. The analysis is easy enough for
Jews and Moslems; it is the location of the ancient Jewish temples that represent the zenith of
Jewish culture and it is the current location of the al-Aqsa mosque containing the Dome of the
Rock, which for Moslems marks the place from which Muhammad ascended to heaven. After
145
Fields, Suzanne. Prophecies of Doom, Real Clear Politics, 29 January 2007. Available on-line:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/01/prophecies_of_doom.html, retrieved 2 November 2007.
146
Ibid.
147
Dittmer, Jason. ‘Of Gog and Magog: The Geopolitical Visions of Jack Chick and
Premillennial Dispensationalism,’ ACME: An International E-Journal for Critical Geographies, 6(2), 298,
Statesboro, Georgia: Georgia Southern University, 2007. Available on-line: http://www.acme-
journal.org/vol6/ JDi.pdf, retrieved on 10 December 2007.
148
Albright, Madeleine. The Mighty and the Almighty. New York: Harper Collins, 2006, 137.
45
capturing Jerusalem during the Six Days War in 1967, the Israeli government adopted the
position that Jerusalem is Israel’s “indivisible, eternal capital.”150 In 2006, El Salvador decided to
move its embassy from Jerusalem to Tel Aviv and now no country has its embassy in Jerusalem.
The interests of American Christians in the Temple Mount151 are not well understood by
the rest of the world, but are perhaps the most important in terms of consequences. Dispensational
pre-millennialists hold that the Temple Mount is the location where a third Jewish temple will be
built as part of the complex series of events leading to Armageddon and the Second Coming of
Jesus. Jerusalem presents a difficult problem for the United States government. All
administrations have attempted to avoid the issue by maintaining the United States embassy in
Tel Aviv. The U.S. Congress has formally recognized Jerusalem as a capital and in 1995,
Congress mandated that the embassy move to Jerusalem. Every administration since the passage
of that law has waived penalties for non-compliance and delayed the move. Because the State
Department has still not moved the embassy, the House passed H.R. 2601 (Foreign Relations
Authorization bill) on July 20, 2005152 to force the administration’s hand. The Senate did not pass
an authorization bill, and that particular measure did not become law. H.R. 895, introduced on
February 7, 2007,153 will attempt once again to force the executive to act on Congress’ guidance
concerning Jerusalem.
149
North, Gary. ‘The Unannounced Reason Behind American Fundamentalism's Support for the
State of Israel,’ 19 July 2000. Available on-line: http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article1585.
htm, retrieved 29 December 2007.
150
Migdalovitz, Carol. Israel: Background and Relations with the United States, Washington,
D.C.: Congressional Research Service, 2007, 25.
151
This same hilltop is called the Haram Al-Sharif, or noble sanctuary, by Palestinians and
Moslems. It is currently the location the Al-Shakrah Mosque, or Dome of the Rock. No policy preference is
intended by my use of the term Temple Mount. I refer to it in that way here because my focus is on the
importance of the site to American pre-millennial Christians without reference to Palestinian or Israeli
claims.
152
Migdalovitz, Carol. Israel: Background and Relations with the United States, Washington,
D.C.: Congressional Research Service, 2007, 26.
153
Ibid, 26.
46
The Israeli government accepted the Roadmap154 with several conditions. The plan is
officially backed by the U.S., Russia the UN and the EU. Knowledge of American millennialism
would suggest that there is little hope for the Roadmap in its current form or for stern, substantive
action on the part of the U.S. to force Israel’s hand where the forfeiture of land is concerned.
Israel has difficult and complex relations with the European Union and it is likely that
these same issues will eventually have a negative impact on U.S. relationships with the EU. The
European Union does not identify Hezbollah as a terrorist organization. Many in Europe believe
the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is the major cause of terrorism and Islamist extremism. The
Congressional Research Service assesses that the EU “has ambitions to exert greater influence in
the Middle East peace process.”155 The EU disapproves of Israeli settlement activity and the
construction of a security barrier. Israel, in turn, believes the EU is biased in favor of the
Palestinians.
Israel has hundreds of settlements156 in areas Palestinians feel should be part of their
future state. Israel exercises military control over the West Bank and is building a security barrier
to separate Israelis and Palestinians. Palestinians object to the barrier being built in West Bank
territory as a border between Israel and Palestine that will cut Palestinians off from East
Jerusalem. As of late 2007, the barrier was more than 60 per cent complete.157 While a majority
of American Jews and Israelis support some form of ‘land for peace,’ many American Christians
oppose any policy that would call for Israel to do anything less than rule over all of Palestine –
including the West Bank.158 Recent U.S. Administrations have publicly disapproved of Israel’s
settlement activity as ‘prejudging final status issues’ and possibly preventing the development of
154
The Roadmap to a Permanent Two-State Solution to the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict.
155
Migdalovitz, Carol. Israel: Background and Relations with the United States, Washington,
D.C.: Congressional Research Service, 2007, 23.
156
According to the Congressional Research Service there are 242 settlements, other civilian land
use sites, and 124 unauthorized settlement outposts in the West Bank and 29 settlements in East Jerusalem.
157
Migdalovitz, Carol. Israel: Background and Relations with the United States, Washington,
D.C.: Congressional Research Service, 2007, 17.
47
a Palestinian state. Administration spokespersons are careful to not close off the possibility of
Israel retaining any particular piece of land. On April 14, 2004, President Bush suggested there
was a need to consider changed “realities on the ground, including already existing major Israeli
population centers,” adding “it is unrealistic to expect that the outcome of final status negotiations
will be full and complete return to the armistice lines of 1949.”159
Perhaps the single greatest indicator of true American interest abroad is actual spending.
Since 1976, Israel received the largest share of United States every single year until 2003 when
the demands of the conflict in Iraq caused the country to occupy the top position for American
aid.160 This is a significant fact that is difficult to understand using traditional political science or
rational actor models. At the height of the Cold War when the European theater was said to be of
paramount importance, the United States placed Israel with a population smaller than some
American cities and no treaty or alliance obligations ahead of everyone else in the world for aid –
including NATO allies. The timing is significant and coincides with the election of the first
Baptist president since President Truman, who extended formal recognition to Israel against the
almost unanimous advice of senior government and military officials. Perhaps more significantly,
the timing of the shift in spending was at the crest renewed interest in dispensational pre-
millennialism ignited by Jewish success in the Six Days and Arab-Israeli wars followed by the
publication of Hal Lindsey’s Late Great Planet Earth. Israel’s position as the top recipient of
American aid was unchanged through both Republican and Democrat administrations. This trend
supports what we understand about the effects of dispensational pre-millennialism on the
population and politics. Republican presidents since Carter have been affiliated with the older,
158
Kaplan, Esther. With God on Their Side: How Christian Fundamentalists Trampled Science,
Policy, and Democracy in George W. Bush’s White House. New York: The New Press, 2004, 29.
159
Bush, George W. quoted in Migdalovitz, Carol. Israel: Background and Relations with the
United States, Washington, D.C.: Congressional Research Service, 2007, 25.
160
Migdalovitz, Carol. Israel: Background and Relations with the United States, Washington,
D.C.: Congressional Research Service, 2007, 27.
48
mainstream Protestant denominations,161 but as individuals were clearly among the 20 per cent of
the American population outside of formal pre-millennialism, but easily influenced by millennial
thinkers. Both Hal Lindsey and Tim LaHaye were powerful advisers in the Reagan
administration. In the case of President George W. Bush, his own Methodist church released a
press statement shortly after his election pointing out that the new President’s views and policies
had much more in common with the Southern Baptist Convention than the United Methodist
Church.162 The only intervening Democratic administration was that of President Clinton –
another Baptist163, which places him in the 25 per cent of formal, committed pre-millennialists.
On August 13, 2007, the U.S. Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs, Nicholas
Burns, signed a memorandum of understanding with Israeli Foreign Ministry Director General
Aharon Abramowitz to govern a new 10-year, $30 billion aid package.164 The aid is primarily in
the form of foreign military financing and averages $3 billion per year. About a quarter of the
money may be spent in Israel with remainder going to the purchase of American weaponry. The
State Department’s official position is that a militarily strong Israel is in the interests of the
United States. Essentially, in spite of broad consensus that Israel possesses a more than adequate
military, the United States continues to go to great lengths and expense to add to Israel’s military
capacity and strengthen the military relationship between the two countries.
161
The most frequent religious affiliation for American presidents has been Episcopalian (11
presidents), followed by Presbyterian (6 presidents). Every president except John F. Kennedy has been
Protestant. President Reagan was a Presbyterian and not known for his religiosity, President George H.W.
Bush is an Episcopalian, and President George W. Bush is a Methodist. Reagan's father was a nominal
Catholic. President Reagan's mother was a member of the Disciples of Christ and Ronald Reagan was
raised in the denomination. Reagan attended Eureka College, which is affiliated with the Disciples of
Christ. As an adult, President Reagan identified himself as a Presbyterian.
162
Paulson, Michael. ‘Bush, Fellow Methodists Don’t See All Eye to Eye,’ The Boston Globe, 30
December 2001, available on-line: http://www.adherents.com/people/pb/George_W_Bush.html, retrieved 5
November 2007.
163
In the history of the United States, there have been four Baptist presidents: Warren G. Harding,
Harry S. Truman, Jimmy Carter, and William J. Clinton. Though few in number, beginning with Truman,
their presidencies have coincided with critical moments in U.S.-Israeli relations.
164
Migdalovitz, Carol. Israel: Background and Relations with the United States, Washington,
D.C.: Congressional Research Service, 2007, 5.
49
In 1998, the United States Congress recognized that Israel no longer required any
economic enhancement or support, but continued to increase funding for the improvement and
expansion of Israeli military capabilities. The Congress has also shown interest in funding another
on-going program: emigration of Jews worldwide to Israel. In dispensational pre-millennialism,
this is called the Ingathering and the return of the Jews to their biblical homeland in Palestine is
an essential precursor to Armageddon.
Within the United States, Israel is often referred to as an ally, but the two countries do not
have any mutual defense agreement. In spite of this, President Bush has said several times that the
United States would defend Israel militarily in the event of an attack.165 In 1981, Secretary of
Defense Weinberger and Israeli Minister of Defense Ariel Sharon signed a memorandum of
understanding to consult and cooperate on security issues. In 1983, the United States and Israel
formed a Joint Political Military Group, which meets twice a year. The Bush administration is
currently seeking to expand these meetings to four per year. Combined exercises began in June
1984, and the United States has facilities to stockpile military equipment in Israel.
In 1986, Israel and the United States signed an agreement on the Strategic Defense
Initiative. Israel is developing the Arrow anti-ballistic missile166 with more than $1 billion from
the United States. On May 17, 2007, the House passed H.R. 1585, the Defense Authorization Act
for FY2008, authorizing the Administration’s request of $73.5 million for the Arrow and $7
million for joint SRBMD. Sec. 228 of the bill requires the Secretary of Defense to expand the
U.S. ballistic missile defense system “to better integrate with the defenses of Israel to provide
robust, layered protection against ballistic missile attack.” 167
165
Ibid, 28.
166
The system became operational in 2000 in Israel. The Defense Appropriations Act for FY2007,
P.L. 109-289, September 29, 2006 appropriates $138 million for the Arrow program. $20.4 million is for a
joint feasibility study of the Short Range Ballistic Missile Defense initiative, a missile interceptor designed
to thwart missiles and rockets out to 200 kilometers.
167
Migdalovitz, Carol. Israel: Background and Relations with the United States, Washington,
D.C.: Congressional Research Service, 2007, 29.
50
Millennialism is an important consideration when evaluating or implementing U.S. policy
with respect to Israel or in the broader Middle East. Tenets of pre-millennialism are at odds with
the U.S. official government position with respect to the Roadmap Peace Plan. It is unlikely that
either a presidential administration of either party or the Congress will ever take substantive
action to force implementation of the Roadmap. Since the U.S. is a guarantor of the Roadmap,
this millennial reality may undermine U.S. credibility in foreign policy over the long-term and
lead to continued conflict throughout the Middle East. Additionally, the confusing and
inconsistent nature of U.S. actions will likely erode relations with the E.U., Russia and Arab
nations.
The U.S. millennial proclivity for an unqualified military defense of Israel will continue
to be a potential flashpoint of great import. Both the United States and Israel believe that Iran
poses a credible existential to the state of Israel – especially if it is able to develop or procure a
nuclear warhead. The Iranian Shahab-III missile system has to range to deliver a warhead to
Israel. Ayatollah Khomeini declared the elimination of Israel to be a religious duty and current
Iranian president Ahmadinejad cites him frequently when making similar statements. Because of
the pre-millennial worldview, the U.S. will continue to adopt an adversarial approach to any
country perceived as at odds with Israel. Since these conflicts are seen as deterministic and
inevitable, there is little incentive to employ diplomacy or any other instrument of power other
than the military in these situations.
ANTI-CHRIST, GOG, MAGOG, AND ARMIES FROM THE EAST
“Ezekiel tells us that Gog, the nation that will lead all of the other powers of darkness against
Israel, will come out of the north. Biblical scholars have been saying for generations that Gog
must be Russia. What other powerful nation is to the north of Israel? None. But it didn’t seem to
make sense before the Russian revolution, when Russia was a Christian country. Now it does,
51
now that Russia has become communistic and atheistic, now that Russia has set itself against
God. Now it fits the description of Gog perfectly.” - Ronald Reagan168
While many Americans can readily see how pre-millennialism influences U.S. policy
toward Israel and the Middle East, the effect of this philosophy on our dealings throughout the
rest of the world may not be as recognizable. Pre-millennialism will drive the U.S. further from
the U.N. in the near future since many pre-millennialists have to come to view that body as a
platform for the Anti-Christ.169 The U.N. and Arab countries are not the only millennial enemies.
Viewed through the pre-millennialist paradigmatic lens, military interventions in the Middle East,
such as the invasion of Iraq, provide strategic depth for the defense of Israel against the ‘army
from the East,’ or China, and Gog and Magog, represented by Russia. American pre-
millennialists will also feel increasingly threatened by the E.U. in coming years. Our self-imposed
isolation, today referred to as unilateralism, and bold uses of military power are a thoroughly
logical operational stance to contribute to the defense of Israel. In the United States Congress,
H.Rept. 110-060, dated March 20, 2007, to accompany H.R. 1591 (Emergency Supplemental
Appropriations for FY2007) states, “The fight in Iraq is also critical to the future of Israel.”
Pre-millennial interpretations of biblical prophecy that predict the emergence of a one-
world government led by an anti-Christ causes distrust and even antagonism toward organizations
like the United Nations, the World Trade Organization, the European Union, NAFTA and
OPEC.170 Reflecting on her time as U.S. Ambassador to the U.N., Madeleine Albright notes that
many of her efforts were frustrated because the U.N. was widely perceived as playing the
168
Reagan, Ronald quoted in Dittmer, Jason. ‘Of Gog and Magog: The Geopolitical Visions of
Jack Chick and Premillennial Dispensationalism,’ ACME: An International E-Journal for Critical
Geographies, 6(2), pp. 278-303, Statesboro, Georgia: Georgia Southern University, 2007, 294-295.
Available on-line: http://www.acme-journal.org/vol6/JDi.pdf, retrieved on 10 December 2007. The
remarks were made in 1971 to a member of the California state senate.
169
Phillips, Kevin. American Theocracy, New York: Penguin Books, 2006, 209.
170
Bruce, Steve. ‘Y2K, The Apocalypse, and Evangelical Christianity: The Role of Eschatological
Belief in Church Responses,’ Sociology of Religion, Summer 2001. Available on-line: http://findarticles.
com/p/articles/mi_m0SOR/is_2_62/ai_76759009/pg_3, retrieved 27 December 2007.
52
“villain’s role” as the architect of world government by many American Christians.171 Albright
goes on to explain that she constantly found herself “on the defensive” and, as a functionary
within the U.N., was perceived by many as “quite literally – the devil’s advocate.”172 The
Christian right constantly works to undermine the U.N. One particularly noteworthy example was
a videotape produced by Phyllis Schlafly’s Eagle Forum titled Global Governance: The Quiet
War Against American Independence, which prominently featured future Attorney General John
Ashcroft173 denouncing the U.N.174
While conservatives in the U.S. sometimes resent the UN as a check on American power,
pre-millennialists are generally opposed to the UN. Pre-millennialists see the U.N. not only as a
dangerous check on American power as it pursues a national strategy of righteousness, but they
have also come to believe that the UN will is presently evolving into a platform that will serve the
cause of the Anti-Christ. Pre-millennialists especially object to UN Resolution 242, which calls
for Israel to abandon the Occupied Territories.
The Bush administration has sought to undermine the U.N. and has angered many foreign
diplomats in the process. In the eyes of many American Christians, President Bush’s actions to
distance the U.S. from the U.N. is actually “shedding the influence of Satan himself.”175
Since shortly after World War I, pre-millennialism has posed problems for relations
between the U.S. and Russia. American pre-millennialists today are certain that the Russia will
attack Israel within the next 60 years. Beginning with the Scofield Reference Bible, pre-
millennialists have been nearly unanimous in their identification of Russia as the Gog and Magog
of the Bible.176 Furthermore, within the system of pre-millennialism, they have concluded that the
171
Albright, Madeleine. The Mighty and the Almighty. New York: Harper Collins, 2006, 82.
172
Ibid, 83.
173
At the time the video was produced, Ashcroft was a U.S. Senator.
174
Kaplan, Esther. With God on Their Side: How Christian Fundamentalists Trampled Science,
Policy, and Democracy in George W. Bush’s White House. New York: The New Press, 2004, 31.
175
Ibid, 33.
176
Boyer, Paul. When Time Shall Be No More: Prophecy Belief in Modern American Culture.
Cambridge, MA: Belknap/Harvard University Press, 1992, 157-159.
53
battles described in the Bible are unfulfilled prophecy, still awaiting us in the now very near
future. In the minds of many American Christians, Russia figures prominently in a battle
described in Ezekiel chapters 38 and 39 that will take place in the near future:
The word of the LORD came to me: "Son of man, set your face against Gog, of
the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal; prophesy against him
and say: 'This is what the Sovereign LORD says: I am against you, O Gog, chief
prince of Meshech and Tubal. I will turn you around, put hooks in your jaws and
bring you out with your whole army-your horses, your horsemen fully armed,
and a great horde with large and small shields, all of them brandishing their
swords. Persia, Cush and Put will be with them, all with shields and helmets, also
Gomer with all its troops and Beth Togarmah from the far north with all its
troops-the many nations with you. – Ezekiel 38:1-6
Within this prophecy, American pre-millennialists see equivalents to many modern-day nation
states. While there are some differences, there is broad agreement that Magog refers to Russia.
Meshech and Tubal are generally thought to refer to Turkey. Since Persia is the ancient name for
Iran, the involvement of Iran in this impending conflict is considered a certainty. Cush and Put
are often equated with Ethiopia and Libya. Broader interpretations read Cush as a reference to all
of the black races of Africa and Put as the North African nations of Algeria, Tunisia, Morocco,
and Mauritania.
Due to the influence of pre-millennialism, there is great distrust of Russia on the part of
the U.S. The belief in a deterministic view of near-term events that make Russian military
aggression inevitable understandably obviates any incentive for cooperation or partnership. This
has contributed to a persistent distance and suspicion that permeates the relationship between the
two powers. Because of this, it will prove difficult, if not impossible, for the U.S. relationship
with Russia to evolve into one of constructive cooperation. A Council on Foreign Relations
commission chaired by Senator John Edwards and Jack Kemp has concluded that more than 15
years after the disintegration of the Soviet Union, U.S.-Russia relations are headed in the wrong
direction and the promise of a strategic partnership between two major powers may no longer be
54
realistic.177 In spite of the fact that cooperation would benefit both countries and the world,
partnership seems inexplicably difficult. Russia could be a valuable ally, especially in coping
with Iran and energy scarcity.
Instead of cooperation and partnership, the U.S. will likely continue to prepare for
military confrontation with Russia. For the near future, U.S. military training and acquisition will
continue to prepare for threats derived from an analysis of Russian capabilities. The U.S. will
continue to support an expansion of Israeli military capabilities, probably with an emphasis on air
and missile defense. The U.S. will continue efforts to expand NATO and Partnership for Peace
programs, but will pointedly exclude Russia. Pre-millennialism will likely push U.S. defense
policy in the wrong direction for years to come.
Beyond unnecessary defense expenditures, the lack of cooperation and partnership has
far-reaching policy implications for the U.S. and the rest of the world. We will miss out on
countless opportunities for meaningful cooperation between two major world powers that could
contribute greatly to the resolution of problems on a global scale. For the United States, a
declining agenda with Russia will sooner or later result in overextension of US resources and
global disaster. Much good could result in the area of nuclear proliferation and intelligence
sharing.178
Partnership between the U.S. and Russia could lead to significant improvements in
dealing with North Korea, Iraq, Iran, and China. Russia could contribute to the long-term stability
of the Middle East, but we fear any involvement that would seem to lead to the fulfillment of
biblical battles. Suspicion on the part of the U.S. can be hard for other nations to understand. In
the case of Russia, it is reasonable to expect that they will respond with suspicion of U.S. actions
177
Council on Foreign Relations. ‘U.S.-Russia Relations Headed in Wrong Direction, Concludes
Council Task Force Chaired by Edwards and Kemp,’ CFR.org. Available on-line: http://www.cfr.org/
publication/10020/, retrieved on: 22 December 2007.
178
Ibid.
55
on the global stage. One example of Russian suspicion is the effort on the part of the Russians to
curtail U.S. and NATO military access to Central Asian bases.179
Most pre-millennialists agree that China is the central figure in the ‘kings of the east’ that
will gather to attack Israel at the Battle of Armageddon, as described in Revelation 16:12-16:
The sixth angel poured out his bowl on the great river Euphrates, and its water was dried
up to prepare the way for the kings from the East. Then I saw three evil spirits that looked like
frogs; they came out of the mouth of the dragon, out of the mouth of the beast and out of the
mouth of the false prophet. They are spirits of demons performing miraculous signs, and they go
out to the kings of the whole world, to gather them for the battle on the great day of God
Almighty.
"Behold, I come like a thief! Blessed is he who stays awake and keeps his clothes with
him, so that he may not go naked and be shamefully exposed."
Then they gathered the kings together to the place that in Hebrew is called Armageddon.
According to most pre-millennialists, China will attack with an army numbering 200-million, as
described in Revelation 9:13-16:
The sixth angel sounded his trumpet, and I heard a voice coming from the horns of the
golden altar that is before God. It said to the sixth angel who had the trumpet, "Release the four
angels who are bound at the great river Euphrates." And the four angels who had been kept ready
for this very hour and day and month and year were released to kill a third of mankind. The
number of the mounted troops was two hundred million.
These ideas concerning China’s role in the near future undoubtedly create an
undercurrent of distrust on the part of U.S. policymakers and strategists. This will likely cause
continuing tensions in Asia and the Pacific. U.S. leaders run a risk of misinterpreting and
overreacting to Chinese policies, initiatives and military programs.
Beyond the obvious problems of policy in the Middle East, pre-millennialism will
increasingly place the U.S. at odds with nearly every major actor on the global stage. The U.N.
and the E.U. are viewed with suspicion as likely platforms for Anti-Christ power and the agenda
of Satan. The U.S. will continue to view both Russia and China as inevitable military threats. Pre-
millennialism can support increasingly advanced weaponry in the Congress. While unpleasant
179
Ibid.
56
and unpopular, military intervention in the Middle East will be seen as a Christian duty in support
of Israel. In short, pre-millennialism will continue to argue for unilateral military action.
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
“The enemy is a spiritual enemy. It’s called the principality of darkness. We, ladies and
gentlemen, are in a spiritual battle, not a physical battle. Oh, we’ve got soldiers fighting on the
battlefields, we’ve got sailors, marines, airmen, coast guardsmen out there fighting against a
physical enemy. But the battle this nation is in is a spiritual battle, it’s a battle for our soul. And
the enemy is a guy called Satan – Satan wants to destroy this nation. He wants to destroy us as a
nation and he wants to destroy us as a Christian army.”180
- U.S. Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence, Lieutenant General Boykin, 2003
A 2003 survey found that more than two-thirds of evangelical leaders view Islam as a
religion of violence bent on world domination.181 Following the events of September 11, 2001,
many Christian opinion leaders began to speak of President Bush’s election and policies as
“divinely inspired.”182 This attitude can present challenges to rational decision-making processes.
While some political commentators have theorized that the administration’s unwillingness to
admit errors is the result of arrogance or political calculation, it is more likely that the
administration believes they are doing the will of God and will be vindicated in the end.183 In
180
Boykin, William G. quoted in Kaplan, Esther. With God on Their Side: How Christian
Fundamentalists Trampled Science, Policy, and Democracy in George W. Bush’s White House. New York:
The New Press, 2004, 21. The remarks were part of a widely broadcast speech that LTG Boykin gave at the
Good Shepard Community Church in Boring, Oregon that were later aired on NBC Nightly News on
October 15, 2003. At the time he made his remarks, LTG Boykin was unaware they would be aired and he
spoke freely to a sympathetic audience, thus providing an unguarded insight into his true thinking. See also
Burns, Robert. ‘General Faulted for Satan Speeches: Boykin’s Remarks on Terrorism and Religion
Violated Pentagon Rules,’ CBS News, 19 August 2004, available on-line: http://election.cbsnews
.com/stories/2003/10/16/terror/main578471.shtml, retrieved 19 December 2007. These remarks are typical
of American evangelical Christian commentary on current geopolitical events. They are informative
because they were spoken not by an evangelical pastor or end-times author, but by an American lieutenant
general serving in a senior policy-making position within the Pentagon. Lieutenant General William G.
Boykin, then-Deputy Undersecretary for Intelligence, made similar remarks at 23 religious events hosted
by Baptist and Pentecostal churches in 2002 and 2003. Lieutenant general Boykin wore his uniform at all
but two of the events.
181
Kaplan, Esther. With God on Their Side: How Christian Fundamentalists Trampled Science,
Policy, and Democracy in George W. Bush’s White House. New York: The New Press, 2004, 13.
182
Ibid, 7.
183
Ibid, 12.
57
other words, intelligence or analysis that seems to support invasions or other administration
policies are interpreted as an affirmation of God’s will, while information is to the contrary is
viewed with suspicion – perhaps an effort by Satan to deceive or mislead.184
As President Carter explained to former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, what
people believe as a matter of religion, they will do as a matter of public policy.185 There is a
tendency on the part of Americans to view foreign policy and international affairs as a “clash of
moral opposites.”186 This tendency may make it difficult for U.S. policy makers and strategists to
perceive and act upon subtleties that may lie outside our conceptions of moral absolutes. Military
leaders have the difficult task translating this religiously tinged policy into successful strategy and
operations. War is primarily about politics. While geography and technology play a role, in order
to be successful military leaders must be able to see the political goals as clearly as possible.187
Because of the influence of pre-millennialism, it can be difficult for military leaders to see
themselves and their government accurately and state policy goals objectively.
Because religion in America directly impacts policy, military leaders and planners must
learn to recognize the tenets and implications of American millennial thought. Millennialism has
always been a feature of the American culture and has shaped not only the objectives of U.S.
government policy, but also the way in which we interpret the words and actions of other actors
on the international stage. Millennial ideas contribute to a common American understanding of
international relations that guide our thinking regardless of individual religious or political
affiliation. Millennialism has great explanatory value, significant policy implications, and creates
potential vulnerabilities that adversaries may exploit. By gaining insight into and embracing
184
Ibid, 12.
185
Albright, Madeleine. The Mighty and the Almighty. New York: Harper Collins, 2006, 77.
186
Wald, Kenneth D. Religion and Politics in the United States. Washington, D.C.: Congressional
Quarterly, 1992, 65.
187
Rosen, Stephen P. ‘The Future of War and the American Military: Demography, Technology,
and the Politics of Modern Empire,’ Harvard Magazine, May-June 2002. Available on-line:
http://harvardmagazine.com/2002/05/the-future-of-war-and-th.html, retrieved 1 February 2008.
58
intellectual honesty where our own prejudices and proclivities are concerned, we can greatly
improve the quality and clarity of our decision-making.
Pessimism and paranoia are two possible results of pre-millennial influence. This can
lead to inaccurate assessments on the part of military leaders and planners. In the Capstone
Concept for Joint Operations, the Joint Staff describes the near-term future as one characterized
by “a pervasive sense of global insecurity.”188 There are actually many reasons to trend toward
optimism. The U.S. military has no rival and our power is truly global in nature. U.S. military
spending always exceeds that of the next several major nations combined. The U.S. military
regularly enjoys a position of leadership on the international stage and effectively uses military
power to intervene in the affairs of other states. Decision makers should guard against
unwarranted pessimism. We should consider whether a contemplated decision or policy is either
overly optimistic or pessimistic. Dispensational pre-millennialism typically causes a
predisposition toward pessimism in world affairs and a general worsening of international
relations. A pre-millennial reading of Bible prophecy paints a dismal picture of a world
disintegrating toward a cataclysmic end where we are forced to confront the wrath and judgment
of God. Assumptions and plans based on this worldview will be less than ideal.
In the same manner that we so assiduously study the culture and thinking of others,
potential adversaries may study us, to include the ramifications of millennial thought, and gain
significant advantages. Millennial thought and its policy implications may create strategic
transparency that affords adversaries an advantage in decision-making. In other words, by
studying the tenets and predictions of dispensational pre-millennialism, one could, to some
extent, predict U.S. government actions and reactions. This would certainly prove more useful in
areas that figure prominently in dispensational pre-millennialist eschatology, such as Israel. An
188
Joint Chiefs of Staff. Capstone Concept for Joint Operations 2.0, Washington D.C.: U.S.
Government Printing Office, August 2005, 4. Available on-line: http://www.dtic.mil/futurejointwarfare/
concepts/approved_ccjov2.pdf, retrieved 1 February 2008.
59
extension of this strategic transparency might include an ability to provoke or manipulate
American policy and subsequent action. With or without the efforts of adversaries, American
millennialism may increase the fragility of or even disrupt coalitions. Finally, adversaries could
easily transform an understanding American pre-millennialism into a highly effective set of
information operations themes and messages or psychological operations efforts to achieve a
variety of results with American leadership or the population at large. By recognizing these
potential vulnerabilities, American strategists can take action now to mitigate the effects.
Based on what we know about the effect millennialism has on our thinking, we may
incorporate additional considerations into policy formulation and evaluation to assist ourselves in
the identification of defects, diminished objectivity or unwarranted biases.189 As a result of
millenarian influences on our culture, most Americans think as absolutists.190 A proclivity for
clear differentiations between good, evil, right, and wrong do not always serve us well in foreign
relations or security policy. Policy makers must strive to honestly confront their own cognitive
filters and the prejudices associated with various international organizations and actors vis-à-vis
pre-millennialism. We must come to more fully understand the background of our thinking about
the U.N., the E.U., the World Trade Organization, Russia, China and Israel. We must ask similar
questions about natural events such as earthquakes or disease. An ability to consider these
potential influences upon our thinking may greatly enhance objectivity.
The inevitability of millennial peace through redemptive violence and an exceptional role
for America have been and continue to be powerful themes running throughout the security and
foreign policies of the U.S.191 Official U.S. government policy expresses these themes in a
189
Bruce, Steve. ‘Y2K, The Apocalypse, and Evangelical Christianity: The Role of Eschatological
Belief in Church Responses,’ Sociology of Religion, Summer 2001. Available on-line: http://findarticles.
com/p/articles/mi_m0SOR/is_2_62/ai_76759009/pg_3, retrieved 27 December 2007.
190
Alexander, John B. The Changing Nature of Warfare, the Factors Mediating Future Conflict,
and Implications for SOF, Hurlburt Field: Joint Special Operations University, 2006, 14.
191
Dittmer, Jason. ‘Of Gog and Magog: The Geopolitical Visions of Jack Chick and
Premillennial Dispensationalism,’ ACME: An International E-Journal for Critical Geographies, 6(2), pp.
278-303, Statesboro, Georgia: Georgia Southern University, 2007, 296-297.
60
number of ways from the National seal that reads Novus Ordo Seclorum – the New Order for the
Ages – or the nuclear intercontinental ballistic missile known as the Peacekeeper. Whether
Americans seek to subdue the continent to realize their Manifest Destiny, conquer the Soviet Evil
Empire or rid the world of Saddam Hussein, millennialism imparts an unusual degree of certainty
and fortitude in the face of difficult situations. Judis points out that, for the same reasons,
millennialism is usually “at odds with the empirical method that goes into appraising reality,
based on a determination of means and ends.”192 As demonstrated by American history,
millennialism has predisposed us toward stark absolutes, overly simplified dichotomies and a
preference for revolutionary or cataclysmic change as opposed to gradual processes. In other
words, American strategists tend to rely too much on broad generalizations, often incorrectly cast
in terms of ‘good’ and ‘evil,’ and seek the fastest resolution to any conflict rather than the most
thoughtful or patient one.193
192
Judis, John B. ‘The Chosen Nation: The Influence of Religion on U.S. Foreign Policy,’ Policy
Brief, 37, March 2005, Washington, D.C.: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 3.
193
Ibid, 3.
61
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Military College, Duntroon, the Australian Command and Staff College and the Royal
College of Defence Studies. He is an Armoured Corps Officer with experience
commanding at the troop and squadron level, and 2nd Cavalry Regiment in 2000–01. He
has served on operations in Iraq and the Solomon Islands and has served in various staff
appointments including as the inaugural Chief Staff Officer (Operations) to the Vice
Chief of the Defence Force. The article argues that western militaries are moving too
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